Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74%
|
2.80 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
2.12 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.17 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
28 matches
Vasco DA Gama
25 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 12 | Losses | 12 |
| 33 | Goals For | 27 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.64 | Shots On Goal | 5.16 |
| 11.32 | Total Shots | 17.28 |
| 4.28 | Corners | 5.48 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vasco DA Gama. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Gremio sit 15 with 28 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 27:32, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Carlos Vinícius (9 goals), Cristian Pavón (2 goals), Gustavo Martins (2 goals), with creative support from Cristian Pavón (4 assists), Francis Amuzu (3 assists), Gustavo Martins (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Vasco DA Gama sit 17 with 25 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 27:39, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Andrés Gómez (4 goals), David (3 goals), Thiago Mendes (3 goals), with creative support from Puma Rodríguez (3 assists), David (2 assists), Cuiabano (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 8 times, Vasco DA Gama won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:11 from Gremio's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 43 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 36 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
Away
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 17 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
Gremio
Home
|
29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 19 | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 24 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | -28 | 18 |
L
D
L
W
L
|