Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
61.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Gremio
Flamengo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
14 matches
Flamengo
16 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 2 |
| 15 | Goals For | 33 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.06 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.79 | Shots On Goal | 5.56 |
| 12.36 | Total Shots | 14.31 |
| 3.93 | Corners | 3.94 |
| 51.9% | Ball Possession | 52.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Flamengo's more proactive style and Gremio's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gremio expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Flamengo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Flamengo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Flamengo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Flamengo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 27 points while Gremio sit 14 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Flamengo.
Gremio approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 17 points from 14 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats with a 15:16 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Carlos Vinicius (7 goals), Edenilson (4 goals), Camutanga (1 goals), with creative support from Edenilson (2 assists), F. Amuzu (2 assists), Gustavo Martins (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 27 points from 13 games, Flamengo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:12, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Pedro (8 goals), G. de Arrascaeta (3 goals), Lucas Paquetá (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (5 assists), Pedro (3 assists), Guillermo Varela (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 3 times, Flamengo won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:29 from Gremio's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Gremio
3
5
2
10
1
5
Lineups
Gremio
Cascavel
Gremio
Corinthians
Gremio
Santos
Gremio
Bahia
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Coritiba
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Internacional
Gremio
Remo
Gremio
Palmeiras
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vitoria
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
RB Bragantino
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Botafogo
Gremio
Fluminense
Flamengo
River Plate
Flamengo
Coritiba
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Bahia
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Fluminense
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Santos
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
Corinthians
Flamengo
Remo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Vitoria
Gremio
Corinthians
Gremio
Santos
Gremio
Coritiba
Gremio
Remo
Gremio
Vitoria
Gremio
RB Bragantino
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Botafogo
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Fluminense
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
Corinthians
Flamengo
Botafogo
Flamengo
Vitoria
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 |
Flamengo
Away
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 |
Gremio
Home
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
