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01.10.2026 18:45
Toumba Stadium
Referee: Marco Guida, Italy
Greece
Match Timeline
Netherlands
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
18'
Christos Tzolis ↔ Giorgos Masouras
Greece
⚽
23'
Fotis Ioannidis · Assist: Giorgos Masouras
Greece
⚽
45+2'
Giorgos Masouras · Assist: Fotis Ioannidis
Greece
🔄
46'
Quinten Timber ↔ Ryan Gravenberch
Netherlands
🔄
46'
Guus Til ↔ Tijjani Reijnders
Netherlands
🔄
46'
Ruben van Bommel ↔ Noa Lang
Netherlands
⚽
59'
Virgil van Dijk · Assist: Joey Veerman
Netherlands
VAR
66'
Denzel Dumfries
Netherlands
🟨
67'
Konstantinos Tzolakis
Greece
🔄
70'
Mexx Meerdink ↔ Joshua Zirkzee
Netherlands
🔄
71'
Vangelis Pavlidis ↔ Christos Zafeiris
Greece
🔄
71'
Fotis Ioannidis ↔ Andreas Tetteh
Greece
🟨
76'
Manolis Saliakas
Greece
🔄
78'
Jurriën Timber ↔ Gjivai Zechiël
Netherlands
🔄
83'
Konstantinos Karetsas ↔ Giannis Michailidis
Greece
🔄
83'
Athanasios Androutsos ↔ Anastasios Douvikas
Greece
⚽
89'
Tijjani Reijnders
Netherlands

Greece vs Netherlands Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.5%
Odds 2.15
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.5%
2.15 ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.68 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.2%
1.48 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Greece Win 28.6%
Draw 8.9%
Netherlands Win 62.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Greece0.94
Netherlands1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Greece Greece
WWDLW
5 GF / 5 GA
Netherlands Netherlands
WLDWL
19 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.9
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
2
BTTS Yes
9
2
Over 2.5
6
3
Shots on Goal
5.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Greece Greece 6 matches
Netherlands Netherlands 10 matches
Greece Statistic Netherlands
2 Wins 5
2 Draws 4
2 Losses 1
5 Goals For 19
5 Goals Against 11
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
2 BTTS Yes 9
2 Over 1.5 9
2 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 1
3 Shots On Goal 5.6
11.5 Total Shots 14.1
3.67 Corners 5.3
40.5% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Greece won 0 times, Netherlands won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Greece's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Greece 4-4-2 / Netherlands 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Greece wins 0, draws 0, Netherlands wins 2

Standings

League A - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 2 2 0 7:5 2 8
W D W D
2 4 2 2 0 5:3 2 8
D D W W
3 4 1 2 1 3:2 1 5
D W L D
4 4 0 0 4 3:8 -5 0
L L L L
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Possible Play-off