Greece
Match Timeline
Italy
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
68.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
64.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
50.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Greece Win 27.7%
Draw 3.9%
Italy Win 68.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Greece0.4
Italy1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Greece
WWDLW
2 GF / 3 GA
Italy
WLDWL
1 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
0
1
BTTS Yes
0
1
Over 2.5
0
2.33
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Greece
3 matches
Italy
1 matches
| Greece | Statistic | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 0 |
| 2 | Goals For | 1 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 0 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 0 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 2.33 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 7.67 | Total Shots | 15 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 33.3% | Ball Possession | 52% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Greece won 0 times, Italy won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:6 from Greece's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Greece 3-4-2-1 / Italy 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Greece wins 0, draws 0, Italy wins 3
Stats
Greece
Italy
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
7
7
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
4
4
Lineups
Greece
Formation
Italy
O. Vlachodimos
P. Retsos
P. Hatzidiakos
K. Koulierakis
G. Vagiannidis
N. Triantis
C. Mouzakitis
G. Kyriakopoulos
G. Masouras
C. Tzolis
A. Douvikas
G. Donnarumma
H. Ahanor
P. Comuzzo
F. C. Chiarodia
L. Koleosho
L. Lipani
C. Ndour
D. Bartesaghi
N. Pisilli
J. Ekhator
F. Esposito
Greece
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
O. Vlachodimos
G
5
P. Retsos
D
17
P. Hatzidiakos
D
3
K. Koulierakis
D
↓ 46'
2
G. Vagiannidis
M
↓ 76'
23
N. Triantis
M
↓ 62'
8
C. Mouzakitis
M
↓ 76'
19
G. Kyriakopoulos
M
↓ 62'
7
G. Masouras
F
↓ 62'
10
C. Tzolis
F
↓ 88'
9
A. Douvikas
F
↓ 88'
Substitutes
13
C. Mandas
G
12
K. Tzolakis
G
24
A. Androutsos
M
↑ 62'
21
K. Tsimikas
D
↑ 62'
16
A. Tetteh
↑ 76'
11
C. Kostoulas
F
↑ 88'
18
S. Kontouris
M
6
D. Kourbelis
M
14
V. Pavlidis
F
↑ 88'
4
K. Mavropanos
D
15
L. Rota
D
↑ 46'
25
A. Ntoi
D
20
C. Zafeiris
M
↑ 76'
26
A. Kyziridis
F
↑ 62'
Italy
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
G. Donnarumma
G
24
H. Ahanor
D
↓ 46'
🟨 44'
15
P. Comuzzo
D
↓ 55'
4
F. C. Chiarodia
D
11
L. Koleosho
M
↓ 89'
5
L. Lipani
M
↓ 74'
🟨 38'
10
C. Ndour
M
3
D. Bartesaghi
M
21
N. Pisilli
F
18
J. Ekhator
F
🎯 18'
↓ 46'
9
F. Esposito
F
⚽ 18'
↓ 87'
Substitutes
12
G. Daffara
G
23
L. Palmisani
G
16
G. Faticanti
M
↑ 89'
14
T. Berti
M
6
F. Mane
D
↑ 46'
20
M. Dagasso
M
↑ 74'
17
S. Fini
F
↑ 46'
8
F. Camarda
F
↑ 87'
19
S. Inacio
F
2
N. Fortini
D
13
L. Reggiani
D
↑ 55'
🟥 68'
7
A. Cacciamani
F
22
C. Favasuli
D
↑ 74'
🟨 82'
Last matches: Greece
04.06.26
Fri
Greece
Sweden
2
2
D
31.03.26
Fri
Greece
Hungary
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
Greece
Paraguay
0
1
L
18.11.25
Wor
Greece
Belarus
0
0
D
15.11.25
Wor
Greece
Scotland
3
2
W
12.10.25
Wor
Greece
Denmark
1
3
L
09.10.25
Wor
Greece
Scotland
1
3
L
08.09.25
Wor
Greece
Denmark
0
3
L
05.09.25
Wor
Greece
Belarus
5
1
W
23.03.25
UEF
Greece
Scotland
3
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Greece
Scotland
0
1
L
17.11.24
UEF
Greece
Finland
2
0
W
14.11.24
UEF
Greece
England
0
3
L
13.10.24
UEF
Greece
Rep. Of Ireland
2
0
W
10.10.24
UEF
Greece
England
2
1
W
10.09.24
UEF
Greece
Rep. Of Ireland
2
0
W
07.09.24
UEF
Greece
Finland
3
0
W
Last matches: Italy
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
31.03.26
Wor
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
26.03.26
Wor
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
16.11.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
1
4
L
13.11.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
3
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
3
1
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
05.09.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
5
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
1
2
L
17.11.24
UEF
Italy
France
1
3
L
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
4
1
W
10.10.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
H2H: Greece vs Italy
07.06.26
H2H
Greece
Italy
0
1
L
12.10.19
H2H
Italy
Greece
2
0
L
08.06.19
H2H
Greece
Italy
0
3
L
Last matches: Greece
27.03.26
Fri
Greece
Paraguay
0
1
L
15.11.25
Wor
Greece
Scotland
3
2
W
08.09.25
Wor
Greece
Denmark
0
3
L
05.09.25
Wor
Greece
Belarus
5
1
W
20.03.25
UEF
Greece
Scotland
0
1
L
14.11.24
UEF
Greece
England
0
3
L
13.10.24
UEF
Greece
Rep. Of Ireland
2
0
W
07.09.24
UEF
Greece
Finland
3
0
W
H2H at home: Greece
07.06.26
H2H
Greece
Italy
0
1
L
08.06.19
H2H
Greece
Italy
0
3
L
Last matches: Italy
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
31.03.26
Wor
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
13.11.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
3
1
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
H2H away: Italy
07.06.26
H2H
Greece
Italy
0
1
W
08.06.19
H2H
Greece
Italy
0
3
W