04.10.2026 18:45
Toumba Stadium
Referee: Clement Turpin
Greece
Match Timeline
Germany
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Konstantinos Tsimikas
Greece
VAR
32'
Jonathan Burkardt
Germany
🟨
36'
Waldemar Anton
Germany
🔄
45'
Alexandros Kyziridis ↔ Athanasios Androutsos
Greece
🔄
45'
Vangelis Pavlidis ↔ Konstantinos Karetsas
Greece
🟨
53'
Christos Zafeiris
Greece
🔄
63'
Lennart Karl ↔ Said El Mala
Germany
🔄
63'
Jonathan Burkardt ↔ Nick Woltemade
Germany
🟨
66'
Philipp Treu
Germany
🔄
68'
Dimitrios Kourbelis ↔ Christos Mouzakitis
Greece
🟨
73'
Ivan Jovanović
Greece
🔄
78'
Konstantinos Mavropanos ↔ Panagiotis Retsos
Greece
🟨
79'
Manolis Saliakas
Greece
🔄
83'
Derry Lionel Scherhant ↔ Bambasé Conté
Germany
🔄
83'
Tom Bischof ↔ Mika Baur
Germany
🔄
88'
Fotis Ioannidis ↔ Charalampos Kostoulas
Greece
🟨
90'
Malick Thiaw
Germany

Greece vs Germany Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.2%
1.83 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.58 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Greece Win 36.3%
Draw 10.6%
Germany Win 53.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Greece1.04
Germany1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Greece Greece
WWDLW
7 GF / 7 GA
Germany Germany
WLDWL
26 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2.36
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
3
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
7
3.14
Shots on Goal
6.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Greece Greece 7 matches
Germany Germany 11 matches
Greece Statistic Germany
2 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
7 Goals For 26
7 Goals Against 12
1 Avg Goals Scored 2.36
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
3 BTTS Yes 8
3 Over 1.5 10
3 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
3.14 Shots On Goal 6.73
11 Total Shots 19.18
4 Corners 7.82
38.9% Ball Possession 63%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Greece won 0 times, Germany won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Greece's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
Predicted formations: Greece 4-4-2 / Germany 4-4-2
H2H summary: Greece wins 0, draws 0, Germany wins 2

Standings

League A - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 2 2 0 7:5 2 8
W D W D
2 4 2 2 0 5:3 2 8
D D W W
3 4 1 2 1 3:2 1 5
D W L D
4 4 0 0 4 3:8 -5 0
L L L L
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Possible Play-off Qualification