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BRAZIL › SERIE B
10.08.2026 22:30
Estádio da Serrinha
Referee: Lucas Canetto Bellote, Brazil
Goias
Match Timeline
Londrina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
19'
Kadu
Goias
⚽
19'
Kadu
Goias
🔄
46'
Rai Nascimento ↔ Vitinho Mota
Londrina
🟨
57'
Wallace Reis
Londrina
🟨
58'
Cadu
Goias
🔄
61'
Lucas Marques ↔ Joao Tavares
Londrina
🔄
61'
Tarik ↔ Guilherme Dantas
Londrina
🔄
62'
Cadu ↔ Anselmo Ramon
Goias
🔄
62'
Rodrigo Soares ↔ Marcos Vinicius
Goias
🔄
67'
Ramon Menezes ↔ Lucas Ribeiro
Goias
🔄
68'
Kadu ↔ Djalma Silva
Goias
🔄
68'
Juninho ↔ Gege
Goias
🔄
69'
Pablo Dyego ↔ Gilberto
Londrina
🟨
74'
Djalma
Goias
🟨
77'
Guilherme Portuga
Londrina
🔄
83'
Nino Paraiba ↔ Andre Dhominique
Londrina
🟨
85'
Gilberto
Londrina
🟨
90+2'
Luiz Felipe
Goias

Goias vs Londrina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Goias Win 69.1%
Draw 13%
Londrina Win 17.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goias1.25
Londrina1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goias Goias
WWDLW
21 GF / 26 GA
Londrina Londrina
WLDWL
27 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
8
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
13
3.45
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goias Goias 20 matches
Londrina Londrina 20 matches
Goias Statistic Londrina
8 Wins 5
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 10
21 Goals For 27
26 Goals Against 31
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
8 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 7
3.45 Shots On Goal 3.65
10.9 Total Shots 12.6
4.45 Corners 5.35
50.4% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Goias arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 29 points compared to Londrina in 17 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Londrina. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Goias expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Londrina in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Goias Analysis

Goias sit 9 with 29 points after 20 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 21:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Kadu (4 goals), Gegê (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Cadu (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Londrina Analysis

With 20 points from 20 games and a place of 17, Londrina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 27:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), João Vitor (2 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 3 times, Londrina won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:7 from Goias's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: Goias 4-2-3-1 / Londrina 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Goias wins 3, draws 5, Londrina wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 59:28 31 60
W W W D L
3 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
4 33 15 12 6 39:29 10 57
D W D D W
5 33 16 8 9 34:28 6 56
W L W W L
6 33 14 11 8 41:31 10 53
D L W W L
7 33 15 7 11 51:47 4 52
D W L W L
8 33 13 12 8 45:35 10 51
D W W L W
9
Goias Home
33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
14 33 11 9 13 35:40 -5 42
L W W D W
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 33 11 8 14 37:38 -1 41
W W L W D
17 33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 33 4 5 24 21:54 -33 17
L L L L L
20 33 3 4 26 18:73 -55 13
L L L L W
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