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BRAZIL › SERIE B
06.10.2026 23:30
Estádio da Serrinha
Referee: Flavio Rodrigues De Souza
Goias
Match Timeline
Athletic Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Lucas Lima
Goias
🟨
28'
Diogo·Batista de Souza
Athletic Club
🟨
43'
Luiz Felipe
Goias
🔄
45'
Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino ↔ Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida
Goias
⚽
58'
Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida · Assist: Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro
Goias
🔄
61'
Jhonatan ↔ Wilinton Aponza Carabali
Athletic Club
🔄
61'
Joao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes ↔ Otavio Bruno Dos Santos
Athletic Club
⚽
63'
João Miguel · Assist: Kauan Rodrigues da Silva
Athletic Club
🔄
68'
Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes ↔ Felipe Negrucci Berdague
Athletic Club
🔄
69'
Jean Carlos ↔ Halerrandrio dos Santos Feitosa
Goias
🔄
69'
Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro ↔ Wellington Rato
Goias
🔄
69'
Filipe Machado ↔ Lucas Rodrigues
Goias
🔄
74'
Maswel Ananias Silva ↔ Yago Santos de Andrade
Athletic Club
🔄
74'
Diogo·Batista de Souza ↔ Douglas da Silva Santos
Athletic Club
🔄
74'
Luiz Felipe ↔ Ramon Menezes
Goias
🟨
89'
Djalma Silva
Goias
⚽
90+1'
Lucas Rodrigues · Assist: Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida
Goias

Goias vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.91
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.2%
1.91 ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
2.20 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.39 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
9.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Goias Win 34.8%
Draw 23.4%
Athletic Club Win 41.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Goias1.03
Athletic Club1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Goias Goias
WWDLW
30 GF / 39 GA
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WLDWL
37 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
12
BTTS Yes
18
11
Over 2.5
12
3.77
Shots on Goal
3.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Goias Goias 31 matches
Athletic Club Athletic Club 31 matches
Goias Statistic Athletic Club
12 Wins 10
6 Draws 12
13 Losses 9
30 Goals For 37
39 Goals Against 35
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
12 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 24
11 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 8
3.77 Shots On Goal 3.45
12.13 Total Shots 11.71
4.48 Corners 4.19
51.9% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Athletic Club's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Goias have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Athletic Club. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Goias Analysis

With 42 points from 30 games and a place of 11, Goias still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 30:36 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Kadu (6 goals), Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Lucas Lima (2 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club sit 13 with 42 points after 30 league matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 36:33 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (4 goals), W. Aponza (4 goals), with creative support from Max (4 assists), Ian Luccas (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Goias won 0 times, Athletic Club won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Goias's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.6%)
Predicted formations: Goias 4-2-3-1 / Athletic Club 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Goias wins 0, draws 2, Athletic Club wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 17 6 8 44:31 13 57
W W W D W
2 31 16 8 7 35:19 16 56
W W L L W
3 31 15 9 7 52:27 25 54
W D L D W
4 31 15 8 8 33:27 6 53
W W L L L
5 31 14 11 6 36:27 9 53
D D W D W
6 31 14 10 7 39:27 12 52
W W L W W
7 32 13 11 8 44:34 10 50
W W L W L
8 31 14 6 11 46:44 2 48
L W L W L
9 31 13 9 9 43:41 2 48
L D W D W
10 31 11 13 7 32:25 7 46
W L W D W
11
Goias Home
32 13 6 13 32:40 -8 45
W L L W W
12 32 12 9 11 44:34 10 45
L W D W W
13 31 11 9 11 39:38 1 42
D W L D L
14 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
15 31 10 9 12 34:39 -5 39
W D W D L
16 31 9 8 14 34:37 -3 35
L W D L L
17 31 8 6 17 30:42 -12 30
L L L D L
18 31 7 7 17 39:45 -6 28
L L L W W
19 31 4 5 22 21:52 -31 17
L L L L W
20 31 3 4 24 17:66 -49 13
L L W L L
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