Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Getafe
36 matches
Rayo Vallecano
50 matches
| Getafe | Statistic | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 21 |
| 5 | Draws | 13 |
| 16 | Losses | 16 |
| 43 | Goals For | 70 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 2.81 | Shots On Goal | 4.78 |
| 9.36 | Total Shots | 14.46 |
| 4.28 | Corners | 6.18 |
| 39.1% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Getafe expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Rayo Vallecano in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rayo Vallecano having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rayo Vallecano. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Getafe sit 6 with 44 points after 33 league matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 28:34 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mauro Arambarri (6 goals), B. Mayoral (4 goals), Martín Satriano (4 goals), with creative support from L. Milla (9 assists), Mauro Arambarri (2 assists), Abdelkabir Abqar (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 33 matches, Rayo Vallecano have collected 39 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 12 draws, and 12 losses, while the 33:41 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. de Frutos (10 goals), A. Garcia (4 goals), I. Palazon (3 goals), with creative support from A. Garcia (5 assists), I. Palazon (3 assists), Andrei Rațiu (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Getafe won 3 times, Rayo Vallecano won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:14 from Getafe's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.
Getafe
3
6
8
3
2
1
Lineups
Getafe
Osasuna
Getafe
Elche
Getafe
Mallorca
Getafe
Oviedo
Getafe
Barcelona
Getafe
Real Sociedad
Getafe
Levante
Getafe
Athletic Club
Getafe
Espanyol
Getafe
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
Real Betis
Getafe
Real Madrid
Getafe
Sevilla
Getafe
Villarreal
Getafe
Alaves
Getafe
Celta Vigo
Getafe
Girona
Getafe
Valencia
Getafe
Real Sociedad
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Levante
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
Getafe
Osasuna
Getafe
Mallorca
Getafe
Barcelona
Getafe
Athletic Club
Getafe
Real Betis
Getafe
Sevilla
Getafe
Villarreal
Getafe
Celta Vigo
Getafe
Valencia
Getafe
Real Sociedad
Getafe
Espanyol
Getafe
Elche
Getafe
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
Girona
Getafe
Real Madrid
Getafe
Levante
Getafe
Alaves
Getafe
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Real Betis
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Granada CF
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Jagiellonia
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
Real Ávila
Rayo Vallecano
Slovan Bratislava
Rayo Vallecano
Oviedo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Getafe
Home
|
38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 8 |
Rayo Vallecano
Away
|
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|