BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Planet Group Arena
Referee: J. Vergoote
Gent
Match Timeline
St. Truiden
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
L. Lopes ↔ A. Omgba
Gent
🔄
65'
Hong Hyun-Seok ↔ A. Kadri
Gent
🔄
65'
W. Kanga ↔ I. Cisse
Gent
VAR
68'
Max Dean
Gent
🔄
72'
K. Matsuzawa ↔ O. Diouf
St. Truiden
🔄
83'
I. Sebaoui ↔ J. Pupe
St. Truiden
🟨
90+4'
Joedrick Pupe
St. Truiden
🔄
90+2'
M. Skoras ↔ J. Duverne
Gent
🔄
90+2'
M. Dean ↔ H. Goore
Gent

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Gent Win 37.6%
Draw 17.5%
St. Truiden Win 44.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gent1.43
St. Truiden1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gent Gent
WWDLW
51 GF / 47 GA
St. Truiden St. Truiden
WLDWL
48 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
20
BTTS Yes
18
19
Over 2.5
18
4.56
Shots on Goal
4.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gent Gent 32 matches
St. Truiden St. Truiden 32 matches
Gent Statistic St. Truiden
13 Wins 18
7 Draws 3
12 Losses 11
51 Goals For 48
47 Goals Against 38
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
20 BTTS Yes 18
28 Over 1.5 25
19 Over 2.5 18
13 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 7
4.56 Shots On Goal 4.28
12.97 Total Shots 13.94
4.59 Corners 5.66
49.8% Ball Possession 54.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring St. Truiden. St. Truiden arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gent expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and St. Truiden in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Truiden having the stronger overall control.

Gent Analysis

Gent come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 45 points after 30 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, with a 49:43 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on W. Kanga (11 goals), M. Dean (7 goals), O. Gandelman (7 goals), with creative support from M. Skoras (7 assists), A. Kadri (5 assists), W. Kanga (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

St. Truiden Analysis

St. Truiden approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 57 points from 30 matches. The overall return of 18 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 47:35 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Goto (10 goals), R. Ito (8 goals), A. Bertaccini (5 goals), with creative support from K. Goto (6 assists), Rihito Yamamoto (5 assists), Ilias Sebaoui (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gent won 6 times, St. Truiden won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:17 from Gent's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)
Predicted formations: Gent 3-4-1-2 / St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gent wins 6, draws 5, St. Truiden wins 4
Stats
Gent Gent
St. Truiden St. Truiden
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
6
6 Corner Kicks 5
8 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 6
7 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
409 Total passes 429
324 Passes accurate 332
0.29 expected_goals 1.03
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Gent
Formation
St. Truiden
D. Roef
D. Roef
D. Hashioka
D. Hashioka
M. Volckaert
M. Volckaert
S. Van Der Heyden
S. Van Der Heyden
M. Skoras
M. Skoras
T. De Vlieger
T. De Vlieger
L. Lopes
L. Lopes
T. Araujo
T. Araujo
Hong Hyun-Seok
Hong Hyun-Seok
M. Dean
M. Dean
W. Kanga
W. Kanga
L. Kokubo
L. Kokubo
R. Vanwesemael
R. Vanwesemael
S. Taniguchi
S. Taniguchi
V. Musliu
V. Musliu
T. Hata
T. Hata
R. Yamamoto
R. Yamamoto
A. Sissako
A. Sissako
K. Matsuzawa
K. Matsuzawa
R. Ito
R. Ito
I. Sebaoui
I. Sebaoui
K. Goto
K. Goto
Gent 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
33
D. Roef
G
4
D. Hashioka
D
57
M. Volckaert
44
S. Van Der Heyden
D
8
M. Skoras
↓ 90+2'
M
27
T. De Vlieger
M
22
L. Lopes
↓ 46'
M
20
T. Araujo
M
24
Hong Hyun-Seok
↓ 65'
F
21
M. Dean
↓ 90+2'
F
7
W. Kanga
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
30
K. Peersman
G
29
J. Duverne
↑ 90+2'
D
10
A. Omgba
↑ 46'
M
54
H. Vernemmen
D
45
H. Goore
↑ 90+2'
F
37
A. Kadri
↑ 65'
M
15
A. Ito
M
11
M. Sonko
F
75
I. Cisse
↑ 65'
F
St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
L. Kokubo
G
60
R. Vanwesemael
D
5
S. Taniguchi
D
26
V. Musliu
D
3
T. Hata
D
6
R. Yamamoto
M
8
A. Sissako
M
38
K. Matsuzawa
↓ 72'
M
13
R. Ito
M
10
I. Sebaoui
↓ 83'
M
42
K. Goto
F
Substitutes
21
M. Lendfers
G
18
S. Jukleroed
22
W. Janssens
D
11
I. Delpupo
M
33
A. Diriken
M
14
R. Merlen
M
23
J. Pupe
↑ 83' 🟨 90+4'
D
4
L. Mbe Soh
D
77
O. Diouf
↑ 72'
Last matches: Gent
27.06.26
Fri
Gent
Merelbeke
6
1
W
31.05.26
Jup
Gent
Genk
0
0
D
24.05.26
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
0
5
L
21.05.26
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
16.05.26
Jup
Gent
St. Truiden
1
1
D
10.05.26
Jup
Gent
Anderlecht
1
1
D
03.05.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
26.04.26
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
0
2
L
22.04.26
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
12.04.26
Jup
Gent
Anderlecht
1
3
L
06.04.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
22.03.26
Jup
Gent
Dender
3
1
W
13.03.26
Jup
Gent
Zulte Waregem
2
0
W
08.03.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
3
1
W
01.03.26
Jup
Gent
Genk
0
3
L
20.02.26
Jup
Gent
Cercle Brugge
0
1
L
14.02.26
Jup
Gent
Charleroi
3
2
W
07.02.26
Jup
Gent
OH Leuven
1
3
L
30.01.26
Jup
Gent
RAAL La Louvière
1
1
D
23.01.26
Jup
Gent
Standard Liege
4
0
W
Last matches: St. Truiden
24.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
3
0
W
21.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
1
3
L
16.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Gent
1
1
D
09.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
0
2
L
02.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
2
1
W
26.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
4
1
W
23.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
2
0
W
11.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
04.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
0
1
L
22.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
L
15.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Genk
0
1
L
08.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
2
1
W
28.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Antwerp
0
1
L
21.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Dender
4
1
W
15.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Zulte Waregem
3
2
W
06.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
KVC Westerlo
4
0
W
31.01.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Charleroi
0
2
L
24.01.26
Jup
St. Truiden
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
18.01.26
Jup
St. Truiden
OH Leuven
1
0
W
26.12.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Standard Liege
2
1
W
H2H: Gent vs St. Truiden
16.05.26
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
1
1
D
19.04.26
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
0
0
D
30.11.25
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
1
2
L
27.07.25
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
3
1
L
07.12.24
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
0
W
06.10.24
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
1
1
D
25.05.24
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
0
W
23.04.24
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
0
2
W
01.02.24
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
4
1
L
06.12.23
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
0
1
W
20.08.23
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
2
D
22.01.23
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
0
3
W
30.07.22
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
1
1
D
18.12.21
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
1
W
25.07.21
H2H
St. Truiden
Gent
2
1
L
Last matches: Gent
31.05.26
Jup
Gent
Genk
0
0
D
21.05.26
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
10.05.26
Jup
Gent
Anderlecht
1
1
D
26.04.26
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
0
2
L
06.04.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
13.03.26
Jup
Gent
Zulte Waregem
2
0
W
08.03.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
3
1
W
20.02.26
Jup
Gent
Cercle Brugge
0
1
L
07.02.26
Jup
Gent
OH Leuven
1
3
L
18.01.26
Jup
Gent
Anderlecht
4
2
W
27.12.25
Jup
Gent
KVC Westerlo
2
0
W
14.12.25
Jup
Gent
Antwerp
0
2
L
30.11.25
Jup
Gent
St. Truiden
1
2
L
09.11.25
Jup
Gent
Genk
1
1
D
25.10.25
Jup
Gent
Standard Liege
4
0
W
03.10.25
Jup
Gent
Charleroi
2
1
W
19.09.25
Jup
Gent
Dender
3
0
W
31.08.25
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
1
1
D
09.08.25
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
2
3
L
02.08.25
Jup
Gent
RAAL La Louvière
1
0
W
H2H at home: Gent
19.04.26
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
0
0
D
30.11.25
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
1
2
L
07.12.24
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
0
W
25.05.24
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
0
W
20.08.23
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
2
D
30.07.22
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
1
1
D
18.12.21
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
1
W
Last matches: St. Truiden
21.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
1
3
L
09.05.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
0
2
L
26.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
4
1
W
04.04.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
0
1
L
15.03.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Genk
0
1
L
28.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Antwerp
0
1
L
21.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
Dender
4
1
W
06.02.26
Jup
St. Truiden
KVC Westerlo
4
0
W
24.01.26
Jup
St. Truiden
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
26.12.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Standard Liege
2
1
W
13.12.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Anderlecht
1
2
L
30.11.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Gent
2
1
W
23.11.25
Jup
St. Truiden
OH Leuven
2
1
W
26.10.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
L
04.10.25
Jup
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
3
1
W
21.09.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Club Brugge KV
0
2
L
29.08.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
1
1
D
23.08.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Zulte Waregem
2
0
W
03.08.25
Jup
St. Truiden
Charleroi
1
1
D
H2H away: St. Truiden
19.04.26
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
0
0
D
30.11.25
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
1
2
W
07.12.24
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
0
L
25.05.24
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
0
L
20.08.23
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
2
D
30.07.22
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
1
1
D
18.12.21
H2H
Gent
St. Truiden
2
1
L

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5
Gent Home
40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs