BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Planet Group Arena
Referee: N. Verboomen
Gent
Match Timeline
Anderlecht
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Nathan De Cat
Anderlecht
11'
L. Lopes
Anderlecht
🟨
28'
Marco Kana
Anderlecht
44'
J. Duverne · Assist: H. Goore
Gent
🟨
45+6'
Ibrahima Cisse
Gent
🟨
45+3'
Siebe Van Der Heyden
Gent
🟥
45+2'
Mihajlo Cvetković
Anderlecht
🔄
60'
I. Camara ↔ A. Maamar
Anderlecht
🔄
60'
A. Bertaccini ↔ M. Rits
Anderlecht
🔄
60'
M. Kana ↔ I. Kanate
Anderlecht
🔄
66'
H. Goore ↔ M. Sonko
Gent
🔄
67'
A. Omgba ↔ M. Dean
Gent
🔄
73'
N. De Cat ↔ C. S. Huerta Valera
Anderlecht
🔄
78'
I. Cisse ↔ W. Kanga
Gent
🔄
78'
J. Duverne ↔ A. Kadri
Gent
🟨
84'
Momodou Sonko
Gent
🟨
90+7'
Tiago Araújo
Gent
🟨
90+6'
Ali Maamar
Anderlecht
🟨
90+2'
Danylo Sikan
Anderlecht
🔄
90+2'
M. Skoras ↔ Hong Hyun-Seok
Gent
🔄
90'
Y. Verschaeren ↔ D. Sikan
Anderlecht

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gent Win 60.3%
Draw 14.4%
Anderlecht Win 25.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gent1.41
Anderlecht1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gent Gent
WWDLW
51 GF / 50 GA
Anderlecht Anderlecht
WLDWL
59 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
20
BTTS Yes
22
19
Over 2.5
20
4.25
Shots on Goal
4.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gent Gent 36 matches
Anderlecht Anderlecht 42 matches
Gent Statistic Anderlecht
13 Wins 16
9 Draws 10
14 Losses 16
51 Goals For 59
50 Goals Against 59
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
20 BTTS Yes 22
29 Over 1.5 31
19 Over 2.5 20
13 Over 3.5 15
9 Clean Sheets 12
10 Failed To Score 11
4.25 Shots On Goal 4.62
12.69 Total Shots 13.83
4.58 Corners 5.55
49.4% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Anderlecht. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gent expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Anderlecht in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Anderlecht having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Gent Analysis

Gent sit 4 with 45 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats with a 49:43 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on W. Kanga (11 goals), M. Dean (7 goals), O. Gandelman (7 goals), with creative support from M. Skoras (7 assists), A. Kadri (5 assists), W. Kanga (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Anderlecht Analysis

With 44 points from 30 games and a place of 6, Anderlecht still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats with a 43:39 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Hazard (13 goals), M. Cvetkovic (9 goals), N. Angulo (6 goals), with creative support from T. Hazard (7 assists), N. Angulo (5 assists), N. De Cat (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gent won 5 times, Anderlecht won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:22 from Gent's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: Gent 3-4-1-2 / Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gent wins 5, draws 3, Anderlecht wins 7
Stats
Gent Gent
Anderlecht Anderlecht
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 2
8 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
546 Total passes 322
488 Passes accurate 242
1.97 expected_goals 0.40
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Gent
Formation
Anderlecht
D. Roef
D. Roef
J. Duverne
J. Duverne
M. Volckaert
M. Volckaert
S. Van Der Heyden
S. Van Der Heyden
T. Araujo
T. Araujo
L. Lopes
L. Lopes
T. De Vlieger
T. De Vlieger
M. Skoras
M. Skoras
A. Omgba
A. Omgba
H. Goore
🎯
H. Goore
I. Cisse
I. Cisse
C. Coosemans
C. Coosemans
I. Camara
I. Camara
L. Hey
L. Hey
M. Angely
M. Angely
L. Augustinsson
L. Augustinsson
M. Kana
M. Kana
N. De Cat
N. De Cat
T. Degreef
T. Degreef
Y. Verschaeren
Y. Verschaeren
A. Bertaccini
A. Bertaccini
M. Cvetkovic
M. Cvetkovic
Gent 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
33
D. Roef
G
29
J. Duverne
⚽ 44' ↓ 78'
D
57
M. Volckaert
44
S. Van Der Heyden
🟨 45+3'
D
20
T. Araujo
🟨 90+7'
D
22
L. Lopes
⚽ 11'
M
27
T. De Vlieger
M
8
M. Skoras
↓ 90+2'
M
10
A. Omgba
↓ 67'
M
45
H. Goore
🎯 44' ↓ 66'
M
75
I. Cisse
↓ 78' 🟨 45+6'
F
Substitutes
30
K. Peersman
G
17
M. Delorge-Knieper
M
54
H. Vernemmen
D
7
W. Kanga
↑ 78'
F
4
D. Hashioka
D
24
Hong Hyun-Seok
↑ 90+2'
M
37
A. Kadri
↑ 78'
M
21
M. Dean
↑ 67'
F
11
M. Sonko
↑ 66' 🟨 84'
F
Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
26
C. Coosemans
G
7
I. Camara
↓ 60'
D
3
L. Hey
D
4
M. Angely
D
6
L. Augustinsson
D
55
M. Kana
↓ 60' 🟨 28'
M
74
N. De Cat
↓ 73' 🟨 -5'
M
83
T. Degreef
M
10
Y. Verschaeren
↓ 90'
M
91
A. Bertaccini
↓ 60'
M
9
M. Cvetkovic
Substitutes
32
J. Heekeren
G
11
T. Hazard
M
79
A. Maamar
↑ 60' 🟨 90+6'
D
61
K. Nga
M
23
M. Rits
↑ 60'
M
21
C. S. Huerta Valera
↑ 73'
M
14
D. Sikan
↑ 90' 🟨 90+2'
F
15
M. Ilic
D
99
I. Kanate
↑ 60'
M
Last matches: Gent
27.06.26
Fri
Gent
Merelbeke
6
1
W
31.05.26
Jup
Gent
Genk
0
0
D
24.05.26
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
0
5
L
21.05.26
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
16.05.26
Jup
Gent
St. Truiden
1
1
D
03.05.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
26.04.26
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
0
2
L
22.04.26
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
19.04.26
Jup
Gent
St. Truiden
0
0
D
12.04.26
Jup
Gent
Anderlecht
1
3
L
06.04.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
22.03.26
Jup
Gent
Dender
3
1
W
13.03.26
Jup
Gent
Zulte Waregem
2
0
W
08.03.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
3
1
W
01.03.26
Jup
Gent
Genk
0
3
L
20.02.26
Jup
Gent
Cercle Brugge
0
1
L
14.02.26
Jup
Gent
Charleroi
3
2
W
07.02.26
Jup
Gent
OH Leuven
1
3
L
30.01.26
Jup
Gent
RAAL La Louvière
1
1
D
23.01.26
Jup
Gent
Standard Liege
4
0
W
Last matches: Anderlecht
24.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
1
5
L
21.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
3
1
W
17.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
2
2
D
03.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
1
3
L
26.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
L
23.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
0
2
L
18.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
2
1
W
12.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Gent
3
1
W
06.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
2
4
L
22.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Cercle Brugge
2
3
L
15.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
08.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
2
2
D
28.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
OH Leuven
5
1
W
22.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Zulte Waregem
4
2
W
15.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
RAAL La Louvière
0
0
D
08.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Genk
0
2
L
01.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Standard Liege
0
2
L
25.01.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Dender
0
0
D
18.01.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Gent
2
4
L
07.01.26
Fri
Anderlecht
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
H2H: Gent vs Anderlecht
10.05.26
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
1
D
12.04.26
H2H
Anderlecht
Gent
3
1
L
18.01.26
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
4
2
W
15.01.26
H2H
Anderlecht
Gent
1
0
L
23.09.25
H2H
Anderlecht
Gent
1
0
L
27.04.25
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
0
1
L
23.04.25
H2H
Anderlecht
Gent
5
0
L
02.02.25
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
Anderlecht
Gent
6
0
L
04.02.24
H2H
Anderlecht
Gent
1
0
L
12.11.23
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
1
D
05.03.23
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
0
W
01.09.22
H2H
Anderlecht
Gent
0
1
W
18.04.22
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
0
0
D
20.03.22
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
0
W
Last matches: Gent
31.05.26
Jup
Gent
Genk
0
0
D
21.05.26
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
0
0
D
26.04.26
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
0
2
L
19.04.26
Jup
Gent
St. Truiden
0
0
D
06.04.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
1
1
D
13.03.26
Jup
Gent
Zulte Waregem
2
0
W
08.03.26
Jup
Gent
KV Mechelen
3
1
W
20.02.26
Jup
Gent
Cercle Brugge
0
1
L
07.02.26
Jup
Gent
OH Leuven
1
3
L
18.01.26
Jup
Gent
Anderlecht
4
2
W
27.12.25
Jup
Gent
KVC Westerlo
2
0
W
14.12.25
Jup
Gent
Antwerp
0
2
L
30.11.25
Jup
Gent
St. Truiden
1
2
L
09.11.25
Jup
Gent
Genk
1
1
D
25.10.25
Jup
Gent
Standard Liege
4
0
W
03.10.25
Jup
Gent
Charleroi
2
1
W
19.09.25
Jup
Gent
Dender
3
0
W
31.08.25
Jup
Gent
Club Brugge KV
1
1
D
09.08.25
Jup
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
2
3
L
02.08.25
Jup
Gent
RAAL La Louvière
1
0
W
H2H at home: Gent
10.05.26
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
1
D
18.01.26
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
4
2
W
27.04.25
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
0
1
L
02.02.25
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
0
W
12.11.23
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
1
D
05.03.23
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
0
W
18.04.22
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
0
0
D
20.03.22
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
0
W
Last matches: Anderlecht
24.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
1
5
L
23.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
0
2
L
18.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
2
1
W
06.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
2
4
L
15.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
08.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
2
2
D
22.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Zulte Waregem
4
2
W
08.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Genk
0
2
L
01.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Standard Liege
0
2
L
18.01.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Gent
2
4
L
07.01.26
Fri
Anderlecht
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
21.12.25
Jup
Anderlecht
Antwerp
2
2
D
07.12.25
Jup
Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
0
4
L
23.11.25
Jup
Anderlecht
RAAL La Louvière
1
0
W
24.10.25
Jup
Anderlecht
Charleroi
0
1
L
19.10.25
Jup
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
2
2
D
26.09.25
Jup
Anderlecht
OH Leuven
1
1
D
31.08.25
Jup
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
L
28.08.25
UEF
Anderlecht
AEK Athens FC
0
2
L
17.08.25
Jup
Anderlecht
Dender
2
0
W
H2H away: Anderlecht
10.05.26
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
1
D
18.01.26
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
4
2
L
27.04.25
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
0
1
W
02.02.25
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
0
L
12.11.23
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
1
D
05.03.23
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
0
L
18.04.22
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
0
0
D
20.03.22
H2H
Gent
Anderlecht
1
0
L

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5
Gent Home
40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs