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TURKEY › SüPER LIG
26.04.2026 11:30
Eryaman Stadium
Referee: M. Turkmen
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Match Timeline
Kocaelispor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
32'
Sekou Koita
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
⚽
34'
M. Mimaroglu
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🟨
45+1'
Karol Linetty
Kocaelispor
🔄
46'
R. Rivas ↔ S. Dursun
Kocaelispor
🔄
46'
K. Linetty ↔ M. Susoho
Kocaelispor
🟨
57'
Ousmane Diabate
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
62'
T. Bingol ↔ D. Churlinov
Kocaelispor
🔄
68'
S. Koita ↔ M. Niang
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
68'
F. Tongya ↔ O. Ulgun
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
75'
D. Agyei ↔ F. Gedik
Kocaelispor
🔄
76'
S. Onur ↔ T. Dele-Bashiru
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
86'
M. Mimaroglu ↔ C. Canak
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
🔄
90'
J. Nonge ↔ A. Sagat
Kocaelispor

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kocaelispor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 51.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
51.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
53%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Win 19.3%
Draw 5.3%
Kocaelispor Win 75.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gençlerbirliği S.K.1.19
Kocaelispor1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K.
WWDLW
45 GF / 49 GA
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
WLDWL
31 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
19
BTTS Yes
15
20
Over 2.5
11
3.23
Shots on Goal
3.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K. 36 matches
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 35 matches
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Statistic Kocaelispor
11 Wins 11
8 Draws 10
17 Losses 14
45 Goals For 31
49 Goals Against 39
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
19 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 21
20 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 14
3.23 Shots On Goal 3.13
10.53 Total Shots 10.53
3.97 Corners 4.27
42.4% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gençlerbirliği S.K. expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Kocaelispor in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kocaelispor having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kocaelispor. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Gençlerbirliği S.K. have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. Analysis

Gençlerbirliği S.K. sit 17 with 25 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 28:42, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Sekou Koita (6 goals), M. Mimaroglu (4 goals), M. Niang (4 goals), with creative support from G. Gurpuz (5 assists), M. Mimaroglu (2 assists), M. Niang (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with P. Etebo, M. Kyabou, A. Sahindere, Z. Zuzek unavailable.

Kocaelispor Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Kocaelispor have collected 36 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 24:33 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Petkovic (7 goals), Serdar Dursun (6 goals), Tayfur Bingöl (5 goals), with creative support from D. Churlinov (3 assists), Tayfur Bingöl (2 assists), H. Keita (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Jovanovic, B. Balogh, M. Cinan, Show unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Gençlerbirliği S.K. won 4 times, Kocaelispor won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:7 from Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4-1-4-1 / Kocaelispor 4-3-3
Missing players: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 6, Kocaelispor 6
H2H summary: Gençlerbirliği S.K. wins 4, draws 2, Kocaelispor wins 2

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
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Conference League Qualification
Relegation