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SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
27.09.2026 14:00
Gavlevallen
Gefle IF
Match Timeline
Vasalund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
E. Torppa ↔ F. Lukic
Vasalund
⚽
47'
M. Bajrovic · Assist: M. Nikolic
Vasalund
🟨
53'
J. Lundstrom
Vasalund
🟨
60'
T. Westin
Vasalund
🔄
64'
M. Spangberg ↔ A. Nezirevic
Gefle IF
🔄
79'
P. Amos ↔ E. Mac Callum
Vasalund
🔄
89'
A. Sipic ↔ N. Lundstrom
Gefle IF
🔄
89'
M. Vucenovic ↔ N. Birgoth
Vasalund
🔄
90+5'
M. Nikolic ↔ B. Bilgec
Vasalund

Gefle IF vs Vasalund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.1%
Odds 2.19
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.1%
2.19 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.69 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Gefle IF Win 69.1%
Draw 13%
Vasalund Win 17.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gefle IF1.76
Vasalund1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gefle IF Gefle IF
WWDLW
53 GF / 57 GA
Vasalund Vasalund
WLDWL
50 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.66
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
17
BTTS Yes
25
22
Over 2.5
23
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gefle IF Gefle IF 32 matches
Vasalund Vasalund 32 matches
Gefle IF Statistic Vasalund
13 Wins 10
3 Draws 9
16 Losses 13
53 Goals For 50
57 Goals Against 61
1.66 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
17 BTTS Yes 25
27 Over 1.5 30
22 Over 2.5 23
14 Over 3.5 16
5 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vasalund having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vasalund. Vasalund arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Gefle IF Analysis

Gefle IF sit 10 with 27 points after 22 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, while the 28:41 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vasalund Analysis

Vasalund sit 12 with 24 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 33:43, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Gefle IF won 2 times, Vasalund won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:19 from Gefle IF's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
H2H summary: Gefle IF wins 2, draws 3, Vasalund wins 6

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 18 3 4 60:20 40 57
W W W W W
2 25 14 6 5 46:28 18 48
W W W W L
3 25 14 5 6 47:34 13 47
D W L W W
4 25 13 6 6 51:25 26 45
L W L D W
5 25 12 7 6 41:35 6 43
D W D D W
6 25 13 3 9 38:40 -2 42
W L D W W
7 25 11 8 6 37:25 12 41
D D D D L
8 25 9 5 11 43:45 -2 32
L L W L L
9 25 9 5 11 34:41 -7 32
W L W W L
10 25 9 5 11 33:41 -8 32
W D L L W
11 25 9 3 13 29:43 -14 30
L L W L W
12 25 7 6 12 36:52 -16 27
L W L D L
13 25 5 9 11 24:36 -12 24
L L D L L
14 25 5 7 13 30:46 -16 22
D W W L L
15 25 5 4 16 33:55 -22 19
D L L W L
16 25 3 6 16 45:61 -16 15
D L L L W