ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
03.10.2026 14:00
Gateshead International Stadium
Gateshead
Match Timeline
Worthing
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
J. Wadham · Assist: J. Young
Worthing
🟨
27'
A. McCalmont
Gateshead
⚽
29'
J. Hiwula · Assist: F. Issaka
Gateshead
🟨
51'
T. Lavery
Gateshead
🔄
56'
E. Sutton ↔ C. Waller
Worthing
🔄
56'
J. Colbran ↔ D. Johnson-Fisher
Worthing
🔄
58'
J. Young ↔ D. Johnson-Fisher
Worthing
🔄
61'
S. Bowen ↔ L. Supyk
Gateshead
🟨
67'
J. Fenton
Gateshead
🔄
70'
F. Issaka ↔ D. Eguaibor
Gateshead
⚽
71'
A. Lankshear
Worthing
🟨
79'
M. Spellman
Gateshead
🔄
85'
J. Hiwula ↔ B. Chadwick
Gateshead
🔄
85'
A. McCalmont ↔ K. Lewis-Burgess
Gateshead
🔄
85'
R. Aguiar ↔ S. Packham
Worthing
🔄
85'
C. Kendall ↔ H. Ransom
Worthing

Gateshead vs Worthing Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.43
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
74.3%
1.43 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.47 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Gateshead Win 20.4%
Draw 5.3%
Worthing Win 74.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gateshead1.16
Worthing1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gateshead Gateshead
WWDLW
19 GF / 36 GA
Worthing Worthing
WLDWL
33 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.83
2.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
9
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gateshead Gateshead 17 matches
Worthing Worthing 18 matches
Gateshead Statistic Worthing
2 Wins 9
4 Draws 6
11 Losses 3
19 Goals For 33
36 Goals Against 22
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
2.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
9 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Worthing's more proactive style and Gateshead's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Worthing carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 14 points while Gateshead sit 24 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Worthing. Gateshead have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Worthing having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Gateshead Analysis

With 4 points from 9 games and a place of 24, Gateshead still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 6:20 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Worthing Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Worthing have collected 14 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 17:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 32:13 19 32
W W W W W
2 12 8 1 3 28:17 11 25
W W W L L
3 12 7 3 2 29:18 11 24
W D L W W
4 12 6 4 2 26:15 11 22
W D W W D
5 12 6 3 3 22:18 4 21
W D W W W
6 12 7 0 5 17:18 -1 21
L W W W W
7 12 6 2 4 22:18 4 20
L L W L W
8 12 5 4 3 15:12 3 19
D L L D W
9 12 5 3 4 20:15 5 18
W W W W L
10 12 5 3 4 17:13 4 18
L L W L D
11 12 5 3 4 14:16 -2 18
D L D D W
12 12 6 0 6 13:19 -6 18
L W L W L
13 12 5 2 5 18:14 4 17
W D L D W
14 12 4 4 4 23:20 3 16
W W L L D
15 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L W D D
16 11 4 3 4 17:18 -1 15
D D L D W
17 12 4 3 5 14:18 -4 15
L D L W L
18 12 4 2 6 20:28 -8 14
W W L W L
19 12 3 3 6 17:18 -1 12
L D W L L
20 12 3 3 6 14:21 -7 12
L D L W D
21 11 3 1 7 15:19 -4 10
L W L L W
22 12 3 0 9 8:17 -9 9
L L L L L
23 12 2 1 9 13:30 -17 7
L W L L W
24 12 1 1 10 7:27 -20 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation