Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
72.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gamba Osaka
21 matches
Tokyo Verdy
21 matches
| Gamba Osaka | Statistic | Tokyo Verdy |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 9 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 10 |
| 34 | Goals For | 22 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5.61 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 13.28 | Total Shots | 9.94 |
| 4.22 | Corners | 4.22 |
| 55.6% | Ball Possession | 41.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Gamba Osaka's more proactive style and Tokyo Verdy's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gamba Osaka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Tokyo Verdy in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tokyo Verdy having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Tokyo Verdy. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Gamba Osaka approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 28 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats with a 31:25 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Hummet (9 goals), H. Minamino (6 goals), R. Meshino (2 goals), with creative support from Ryo Hatsuse (3 assists), I. Jebali (2 assists), Ryoya Yamashita (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Tokyo Verdy sit 5 with 28 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats with a 22:26 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Someno (4 goals), T. Yoshida (4 goals), H. Yamamoto (2 goals), with creative support from K. Morita (3 assists), I. Someno (2 assists), Y. Arai (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Gamba Osaka won 3 times, Tokyo Verdy won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:8 from Gamba Osaka's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Gamba Osaka
2
3
2
5
1
4
Lineups
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
Roasso Kumamoto
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
Gamba Osaka
Shonan Bellmare
Gamba Osaka
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 |
Gamba Osaka
Home
|
18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
?
|