JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Panasonic Stadium Suita
Referee: Y. Ohashi
Gamba Osaka
Match Timeline
Tokyo Verdy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
42'
S. Sasaki
Gamba Osaka
🔄
46'
S. Sasaki ↔ G. Miura
Gamba Osaka
47'
Y. Fukuda · Assist: R. Hirakawa
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
64'
Y. Yoshihara ↔ S. Kurata
Gamba Osaka
🔄
64'
G. Nawata ↔ T. Tono
Gamba Osaka
🔄
65'
Welton ↔ K. Okunuki
Gamba Osaka
🔄
69'
S. Nakayama ↔ R. Shirai
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
69'
Y. Matsuhashi ↔ S. Tanabe
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
80'
H. Minamino ↔ R. Yamashita
Gamba Osaka
🔄
82'
Y. Fukuda ↔ K. Saito
Tokyo Verdy

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 72.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
72.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gamba Osaka Win 39.6%
Draw 27.4%
Tokyo Verdy Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gamba Osaka1.64
Tokyo Verdy1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
WWDLW
34 GF / 26 GA
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
WLDWL
22 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
14
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
10
5.61
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 21 matches
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 21 matches
Gamba Osaka Statistic Tokyo Verdy
7 Wins 7
9 Draws 4
5 Losses 10
34 Goals For 22
26 Goals Against 35
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
14 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 8
5.61 Shots On Goal 3
13.28 Total Shots 9.94
4.22 Corners 4.22
55.6% Ball Possession 41.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Gamba Osaka's more proactive style and Tokyo Verdy's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gamba Osaka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Tokyo Verdy in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tokyo Verdy having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Tokyo Verdy. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Gamba Osaka Analysis

Gamba Osaka approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 28 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats with a 31:25 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Hummet (9 goals), H. Minamino (6 goals), R. Meshino (2 goals), with creative support from Ryo Hatsuse (3 assists), I. Jebali (2 assists), Ryoya Yamashita (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Tokyo Verdy Analysis

Tokyo Verdy sit 5 with 28 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats with a 22:26 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Someno (4 goals), T. Yoshida (4 goals), H. Yamamoto (2 goals), with creative support from K. Morita (3 assists), I. Someno (2 assists), Y. Arai (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Gamba Osaka won 3 times, Tokyo Verdy won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:8 from Gamba Osaka's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.6%)
Predicted formations: Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1 / Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Gamba Osaka wins 3, draws 5, Tokyo Verdy wins 0
Stats
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
8 Corner Kicks 6
7 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
60% Ball Possession 40%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 4
4 Shots insidebox 6
1 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
498 Total passes 327
389 Passes accurate 225
0.80 expected_goals 0.58
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Gamba Osaka
Formation
Tokyo Verdy
M. Higashiguchi
M. Higashiguchi
G. Ikegaya
G. Ikegaya
S. Nakatani
S. Nakatani
S. Sasaki
S. Sasaki
R. Hatsuse
R. Hatsuse
Y. Yoshihara
Y. Yoshihara
R. Mito
R. Mito
G. Nawata
G. Nawata
D. Hummet
D. Hummet
Welton
Welton
H. Minamino
H. Minamino
Y. Nagasawa
Y. Nagasawa
K. Suzuki
K. Suzuki
N. Hayashi
N. Hayashi
R. Inoue
R. Inoue
Y. Matsuhashi
Y. Matsuhashi
R. Hirakawa
🎯
R. Hirakawa
K. Morita
K. Morita
D. Fukazawa
D. Fukazawa
S. Nakayama
S. Nakayama
Y. Fukuda
Y. Fukuda
I. Someno
I. Someno
Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Higashiguchi
G
19
G. Ikegaya
D
4
S. Nakatani
D
67
S. Sasaki
⚽ 42' ↓ 46'
D
21
R. Hatsuse
D
32
Y. Yoshihara
↓ 64'
M
27
R. Mito
M
38
G. Nawata
↓ 64'
M
23
D. Hummet
M
97
Welton
↓ 65'
M
42
H. Minamino
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
22
J. Ichimori
G
10
S. Kurata
↑ 64'
M
5
G. Miura
↑ 46'
D
47
S. Nakano
D
44
K. Okunuki
↑ 65'
M
17
R. Yamashita
↑ 80'
F
40
S. Toyama
F
35
T. Tono
↑ 64'
F
36
T. Yamamoto
M
Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
21
Y. Nagasawa
G
15
K. Suzuki
D
4
N. Hayashi
D
5
R. Inoue
D
7
Y. Matsuhashi
↓ 69'
M
16
R. Hirakawa
🎯 47'
M
10
K. Morita
M
23
D. Fukazawa
M
24
S. Nakayama
↓ 69'
F
14
Y. Fukuda
⚽ 47' ↓ 82'
F
9
I. Someno
F
Substitutes
1
Matheus
G
6
K. Miyahara
D
17
T. Inami
M
25
I. Kumatoriya
F
27
R. Shirai
↑ 69'
F
8
K. Saito
↑ 82'
M
35
S. Tanabe
↑ 69'
D
45
S. Teranuma
F
40
Y. Arai
M
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
06.06.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
2
W
24.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
10.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
02.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
5
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
1
D
22.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
L
19.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
1
L
04.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
0
W
21.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
14.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
08.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
28.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
2
D
22.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
15.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
07.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
25.01.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
4
1
W
Last matches: Tokyo Verdy
06.06.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
2
4
L
24.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
6
L
16.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
13.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
10.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
06.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
1
L
03.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
1
0
W
12.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
2
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
18.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
2
L
14.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
0
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
21.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
15.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
2
1
W
08.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
3
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Tokyo Verdy
Roasso Kumamoto
0
2
L
H2H: Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy
06.06.26
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
2
4
W
30.05.26
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
06.12.25
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
1
W
02.03.25
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
0
1
W
28.09.24
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
15.05.24
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
27.07.13
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
3
3
D
07.04.13
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
10.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
02.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
5
0
W
22.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
L
19.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
1
L
04.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
0
W
08.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
28.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
2
D
15.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
25.01.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
4
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Shonan Bellmare
1
1
D
15.01.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Machida Zelvia
3
2
W
H2H at home: Gamba Osaka
30.05.26
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
06.12.25
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
1
W
28.09.24
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
07.04.13
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
Last matches: Tokyo Verdy
16.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
13.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
10.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
06.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
1
L
12.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
2
3
L
07.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
0
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
15.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
2
1
W
H2H away: Tokyo Verdy
30.05.26
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
06.12.25
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
1
L
28.09.24
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
07.04.13
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)