Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
92.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gamba Osaka
19 matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
16 matches
| Gamba Osaka | Statistic | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 7 |
| 32 | Goals For | 23 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.75 | Shots On Goal | 4.87 |
| 13.38 | Total Shots | 16.6 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 6.07 |
| 56.1% | Ball Possession | 56.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gamba Osaka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Gamba Osaka sit 3 with 25 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats with a 29:23 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Hummet (9 goals), H. Minamino (5 goals), R. Meshino (2 goals), with creative support from I. Jebali (2 assists), Ryoya Yamashita (2 assists), Ryo Hatsuse (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 21 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 22:21 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Suzuki (4 goals), K. Kinoshita (4 goals), R. Germain (4 goals), with creative support from S. Higashi (3 assists), A. Suzuki (2 assists), H. Kawabe (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gamba Osaka won 5 times, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:22 from Gamba Osaka's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Gamba Osaka
6
4
7
6
1
1
Lineups
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
Gamba Osaka
Shonan Bellmare
Gamba Osaka
Machida Zelvia
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Away
|
18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
| 5 |
Gamba Osaka
Home
|
18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
?
|