JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Panasonic Stadium Suita
Referee: D. Kos
Gamba Osaka
Match Timeline
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
K. Okunuki ↔ H. Minamino
Gamba Osaka
🟨
49'
Kawabe Hayao
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
56'
K. Kinoshita ↔ A. Suzuki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
56'
M. Kato ↔ R. Germain
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🟨
61'
Arai Naoto
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
65'
D. Hummet ↔ T. Usami
Gamba Osaka
68'
S. Higashi · Assist: A. Suzuki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
72'
S. Nakano ↔ R. Hatsuse
Gamba Osaka
🔄
72'
T. Yamamoto ↔ Welton
Gamba Osaka
🔄
75'
N. Arai ↔ T. Matsumoto
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
79'
R. Meshino ↔ S. Kurata
Gamba Osaka
🔄
84'
S. Nakamura ↔ N. Maeda
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🔄
84'
T. Shiotani ↔ Y. Chajima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 92.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
92.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gamba Osaka Win 92.1%
Draw 0%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win 7.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gamba Osaka1.58
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
WWDLW
32 GF / 24 GA
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
WLDWL
23 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
13
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
9
5.75
Shots on Goal
4.87

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 19 matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 matches
Gamba Osaka Statistic Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 Wins 5
9 Draws 4
4 Losses 7
32 Goals For 23
24 Goals Against 23
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
13 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 2
5.75 Shots On Goal 4.87
13.38 Total Shots 16.6
4.5 Corners 6.07
56.1% Ball Possession 56.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gamba Osaka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Gamba Osaka Analysis

Gamba Osaka sit 3 with 25 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats with a 29:23 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Hummet (9 goals), H. Minamino (5 goals), R. Meshino (2 goals), with creative support from I. Jebali (2 assists), Ryoya Yamashita (2 assists), Ryo Hatsuse (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 21 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 22:21 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Suzuki (4 goals), K. Kinoshita (4 goals), R. Germain (4 goals), with creative support from S. Higashi (3 assists), A. Suzuki (2 assists), H. Kawabe (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gamba Osaka won 5 times, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:22 from Gamba Osaka's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1 / Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Gamba Osaka wins 5, draws 2, Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins 8
Stats
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 1
4 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 0
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
453 Total passes 398
362 Passes accurate 314
1.45 expected_goals 0.56
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Gamba Osaka
Formation
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
R. Araki
R. Araki
T. Kishimoto
T. Kishimoto
G. Miura
G. Miura
S. Nakatani
S. Nakatani
S. Nakano
S. Nakano
T. Suzuki
T. Suzuki
T. Yamamoto
T. Yamamoto
R. Yamashita
R. Yamashita
R. Meshino
R. Meshino
K. Okunuki
K. Okunuki
D. Hummet
D. Hummet
K. Osako
K. Osako
T. Shiotani
T. Shiotani
T. Yamasaki
T. Yamasaki
S. Sasaki
S. Sasaki
S. Nakano
S. Nakano
H. Kawabe
H. Kawabe
N. Arai
N. Arai
S. Higashi
S. Higashi
M. Kato
M. Kato
S. Nakamura
S. Nakamura
K. Kinoshita
K. Kinoshita
Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
18
R. Araki
G
15
T. Kishimoto
D
5
G. Miura
D
4
S. Nakatani
D
47
S. Nakano
↓ 72'
D
16
T. Suzuki
M
36
T. Yamamoto
↓ 72'
M
17
R. Yamashita
M
8
R. Meshino
↓ 79'
M
44
K. Okunuki
↓ 46'
M
23
D. Hummet
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Higashiguchi
G
10
S. Kurata
↑ 79'
M
21
R. Hatsuse
↑ 72'
D
97
Welton
↑ 72'
F
42
H. Minamino
↑ 46'
F
38
G. Nawata
M
7
T. Usami
↑ 65'
F
41
J. Nakamura
M
19
G. Ikegaya
D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
K. Osako
G
33
T. Shiotani
↓ 84'
D
3
T. Yamasaki
D
19
S. Sasaki
D
15
S. Nakano
M
6
H. Kawabe
🟨 49'
M
13
N. Arai
↓ 75' 🟨 61'
M
24
S. Higashi
⚽ 68'
M
11
M. Kato
↓ 56'
39
S. Nakamura
↓ 84'
F
17
K. Kinoshita
↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
99
I. Ouchi
G
10
A. Suzuki
🎯 68' ↑ 56'
F
41
N. Maeda
↑ 84'
F
25
Y. Chajima
↑ 84'
M
16
T. Shichi
D
14
T. Matsumoto
↑ 75'
M
9
R. Germain
↑ 56'
F
40
M. Ohara
M
45
S. Kobayashi
M
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
06.06.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
2
W
30.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
06.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
02.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
5
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
1
D
22.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
L
19.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
1
L
04.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
0
W
21.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
14.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
08.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
28.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
2
D
22.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
15.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
07.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
25.01.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
4
1
W
Last matches: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
06.06.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
30.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
2
1
W
23.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
4
2
W
17.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
4
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
1
1
D
02.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
25.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
05.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
27.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
1
2
L
22.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1
3
L
18.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
14.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
2
0
W
27.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
1
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
14.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
06.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
3
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
3
4
L
H2H: Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
10.05.26
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
14.03.26
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
2
0
L
16.08.25
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
1
0
L
11.05.25
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
08.12.24
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3
1
W
11.09.24
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
1
2
W
30.03.24
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
10.02.24
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
1
2
W
25.11.23
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
3
0
L
12.03.23
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
20.08.22
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
5
2
L
29.06.22
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
0
W
12.05.21
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
03.04.21
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
27.09.20
H2H
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba Osaka
1
2
W
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
30.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
02.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
5
0
W
22.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
L
19.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
1
L
04.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
0
W
08.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
28.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
2
D
15.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
25.01.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Consadole Sapporo
4
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Shonan Bellmare
1
1
D
15.01.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Machida Zelvia
3
2
W
H2H at home: Gamba Osaka
10.05.26
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
11.05.25
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
08.12.24
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3
1
W
12.03.23
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
29.06.22
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
0
W
12.05.21
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
Last matches: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
06.06.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
17.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
4
0
W
02.05.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
27.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Vissel Kobe
1
2
L
22.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1
3
L
18.03.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
06.02.26
J1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
3
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
FC Tokyo
3
4
L
H2H away: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
10.05.26
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
W
11.05.25
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
W
08.12.24
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3
1
L
12.03.23
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
W
29.06.22
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
0
L
12.05.21
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
W

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)