SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
--.--.---- --:--
Gamla Ullevi
Referee: Richard Sundell, Sweden
Gais
Match Timeline
Malmo FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
53'
F. Beckman
Malmo FF
🔄
57'
J. Fagerjord ↔ H. Sletsjoe
Gais
🔄
57'
N. Vasic ↔ S. Salter
Gais
🟨
60'
William Milovanovic
Gais
🔄
65'
D. Garcia ↔ A. Hoog
Malmo FF
🔄
65'
A. Skogmar ↔ T. Lundbergh
Malmo FF
🔄
70'
M. de Brienne ↔ R. Wendin Thomasson
Gais
🔄
70'
M. Andersson ↔ S. Jorgensen
Gais
🔄
74'
M. Palsson ↔ B. Kurtulus
Malmo FF
🟨
81'
Henry Sletsjoe
Gais
🟨
81'
Theodor Lundbergh
Malmo FF
🔄
81'
W. Milovanovic ↔ D. Collander
Gais
🟨
85'
Jens Stryger Larsen
Malmo FF
🔄
89'
E. Botheim ↔ A. Christiansen
Malmo FF
🟨
90+1'
Kenan Busuladžić
Malmo FF
🔄
90+1'
S. Haksabanovic ↔ D. T. Gudjohnsen
Malmo FF

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.7%
Odds 2.21
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.7%
2.21
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.66
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Gais Win 50.7%
Draw 13%
Malmo FF Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gais1.48
Malmo FF1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gais Gais
WWDLW
38 GF / 27 GA
Malmo FF Malmo FF
WLDWL
37 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
12
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
14
4.89
Shots on Goal
4.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gais Gais 27 matches
Malmo FF Malmo FF 22 matches
Gais Statistic Malmo FF
14 Wins 9
6 Draws 4
7 Losses 9
38 Goals For 37
27 Goals Against 35
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
12 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 11
12 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 1
4.89 Shots On Goal 4.75
14.94 Total Shots 14.44
5.44 Corners 4.81
50.1% Ball Possession 57.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gais expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Malmo FF in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Malmo FF having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Malmo FF. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gais Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Gais have collected 20 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 19:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Henry Sletsjoe (2 goals), Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson (1 goals), with creative support from Rasmus Niklasson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Malmo FF Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Malmo FF have collected 23 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 30:25 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Erik Botheim (2 goals), Sead Hakšabanović (1 goals), Noah Åstrand John (1 goals), with creative support from Erik Botheim (2 assists), Sead Hakšabanović (2 assists), Noah Åstrand John (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Gais won 1 times, Malmo FF won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:11 from Gais's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: Gais 4-3-3 / Malmo FF 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Gais 6, Malmo FF 7
H2H summary: Gais wins 1, draws 2, Malmo FF wins 4
Stats
Gais Gais
Malmo FF Malmo FF
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 20
4 Offsides 1
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 2
6 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
442 Total passes 431
363 Passes accurate 356
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Gais
Formation
Malmo FF
M. Krasniqi
M. Krasniqi
A. Wangberg
A. Wangberg
O. Agren
O. Agren
F. Beckman
F. Beckman
M. de Brienne
M. de Brienne
W. Milovanovic
W. Milovanovic
J. Fagerjord
J. Fagerjord
R. Thorkelsson
R. Thorkelsson
M. Andersson
M. Andersson
N. Vasic
N. Vasic
R. Niklasson
R. Niklasson
R. Olsen
R. Olsen
J. Stryger
J. Stryger
A. Djuric
A. Djuric
M. Palsson
M. Palsson
Busanello
Busanello
K. Busuladzic
K. Busuladzic
O. Rosengren
O. Rosengren
A. Skogmar
A. Skogmar
D. Garcia
D. Garcia
E. Botheim
E. Botheim
S. Haksabanovic
S. Haksabanovic
Gais 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
M. Krasniqi
G
6
A. Wangberg
D
4
O. Agren
D
24
F. Beckman
⚽ 53'
D
2
M. de Brienne
↓ 70'
D
8
W. Milovanovic
↓ 81' 🟨 60'
M
7
J. Fagerjord
↓ 57'
M
17
R. Thorkelsson
M
16
M. Andersson
↓ 70'
F
21
N. Vasic
↓ 57'
F
11
R. Niklasson
F
Substitutes
30
A. Tihic
G
12
R. Frej
D
22
A. Cardaklija
D
5
R. Wendin Thomasson
↑ 70'
D
34
D. Collander
↑ 81'
M
10
H. Sletsjoe
↑ 57' 🟨 81'
M
32
O. Pettersson
F
20
S. Salter
↑ 57'
F
14
S. Jorgensen
↑ 70'
F
Malmo FF 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
R. Olsen
G
17
J. Stryger
🟨 85'
D
5
A. Djuric
D
44
M. Palsson
↓ 74'
D
25
Busanello
D
40
K. Busuladzic
🟨 90+1'
M
7
O. Rosengren
M
37
A. Skogmar
↓ 65'
M
9
D. Garcia
↓ 65'
F
20
E. Botheim
↓ 89'
F
29
S. Haksabanovic
↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
27
J. Dahlin
G
2
J. Karlsson
D
4
B. Kurtulus
↑ 74'
D
45
A. Hoog
↑ 65'
M
10
A. Christiansen
↑ 89'
M
28
J. Milosavljevic
M
47
T. Lundbergh
↑ 65' 🟨 81'
M
32
D. T. Gudjohnsen
↑ 90+1'
F
39
I. Assibu
F
Last matches: Gais
09.08.26
All
Gais
Halmstad
2
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Gais
FC Nordsjaelland
0
6
L
26.07.26
All
Gais
Halmstad
1
1
D
23.07.26
UEF
Gais
FC Nordsjaelland
1
0
W
18.07.26
All
Gais
AIK Stockholm
0
2
L
12.07.26
All
Gais
IF Elfsborg
1
0
W
06.07.26
All
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
Gais
Valerenga
2
1
W
17.06.26
Fri
Gais
Halmstad
1
1
D
30.05.26
All
Gais
Kalmar FF
3
0
W
24.05.26
All
Gais
Sirius
1
2
L
20.05.26
All
Gais
Hammarby FF
2
0
W
16.05.26
All
Gais
Degerfors IF
1
1
D
09.05.26
All
Gais
Vasteras SK FK
1
0
W
03.05.26
All
Gais
Orgryte IS
4
0
W
26.04.26
All
Gais
IFK Goteborg
2
2
D
23.04.26
All
Gais
Mjallby AIF
0
0
D
19.04.26
All
Gais
BK Hacken
1
2
L
12.04.26
All
Gais
Malmo FF
1
3
L
06.04.26
All
Gais
Djurgardens IF
0
1
L
Last matches: Malmo FF
09.08.26
All
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
3
L
02.08.26
All
Malmo FF
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
26.07.26
All
Malmo FF
IF Elfsborg
1
2
L
20.07.26
All
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
2
2
D
12.07.26
All
Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg
4
0
W
04.07.26
All
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Malmo FF
FC Midtjylland
2
2
D
30.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Halmstad
5
2
W
24.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
2
3
L
17.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Hammarby FF
1
4
L
10.05.26
All
Malmo FF
BK Hacken
2
3
L
03.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Mjallby AIF
2
3
L
27.04.26
All
Malmo FF
AIK Stockholm
1
0
W
23.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Sirius
2
3
L
17.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
0
W
12.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Gais
3
1
W
05.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Landskrona BoIS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
1
1
D
10.02.26
Fri
Malmo FF
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
H2H: Gais vs Malmo FF
12.04.26
H2H
Malmo FF
Gais
3
1
L
09.11.25
H2H
Malmo FF
Gais
2
1
L
05.07.25
H2H
Gais
Malmo FF
0
0
D
18.09.24
H2H
Gais
Malmo FF
0
0
D
16.05.24
H2H
Malmo FF
Gais
1
0
L
20.02.22
H2H
Malmo FF
Gais
5
1
L
01.03.21
H2H
Gais
Malmo FF
1
0
W
Last matches: Gais
26.07.26
All
Gais
Halmstad
1
1
D
23.07.26
UEF
Gais
FC Nordsjaelland
1
0
W
12.07.26
All
Gais
IF Elfsborg
1
0
W
17.06.26
Fri
Gais
Halmstad
1
1
D
30.05.26
All
Gais
Kalmar FF
3
0
W
20.05.26
All
Gais
Hammarby FF
2
0
W
16.05.26
All
Gais
Degerfors IF
1
1
D
03.05.26
All
Gais
Orgryte IS
4
0
W
23.04.26
All
Gais
Mjallby AIF
0
0
D
06.04.26
All
Gais
Djurgardens IF
0
1
L
29.03.26
Fri
Gais
Halmstad
2
0
W
18.03.26
Fri
Gais
Oddevold
2
1
W
10.03.26
Fri
Gais
Varbergs BoIS FC
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Gais
IF Elfsborg
2
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
Gais
KI Klaksvik
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Gais
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
1
W
H2H at home: Gais
05.07.25
H2H
Gais
Malmo FF
0
0
D
18.09.24
H2H
Gais
Malmo FF
0
0
D
01.03.21
H2H
Gais
Malmo FF
1
0
W
Last matches: Malmo FF
02.08.26
All
Malmo FF
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
20.07.26
All
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF
2
2
D
04.07.26
All
Malmo FF
Degerfors IF
1
0
W
17.05.26
All
Malmo FF
Hammarby FF
1
4
L
10.05.26
All
Malmo FF
BK Hacken
2
3
L
27.04.26
All
Malmo FF
AIK Stockholm
1
0
W
17.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Djurgardens IF
1
0
W
05.04.26
All
Malmo FF
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Malmo FF
Jeonbuk Motors
1
2
L
29.01.26
UEF
Malmo FF
Genk
1
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
Malmo FF
FC Porto
1
2
L
27.11.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
02.10.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Plzen
0
3
L
28.08.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Sigma Olomouc
2
0
W
12.08.25
UEF
Malmo FF
FC Copenhagen
0
5
L
22.07.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Rīgas FS
4
1
W
08.07.25
UEF
Malmo FF
Saburtalo
3
1
W
H2H away: Malmo FF
05.07.25
H2H
Gais
Malmo FF
0
0
D
18.09.24
H2H
Gais
Malmo FF
0
0
D
01.03.21
H2H
Gais
Malmo FF
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 3.58
Home 2.21
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.56
Draw 2.39
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.25 1.48
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 2.75 1.83
Over 3.0 2.09
Over 3.25 2.37
Over 3.5 2.64
Over 4.5 4.76
Under 1.5 4.51
Under 2.25 2.66
Under 2.5 2.22
Under 2.75 1.99
Under 3.0 1.75
Under 3.25 1.58
Under 3.5 1.47
Under 4.5 1.18
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 3.50
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.30
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.60
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.15
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.02
Draw 3.54
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.63
Draw 2.21
Home 2.73
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.22
Draw 2.63
Home 2.47
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.08
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 1.75 1.22
Over 2.0 1.26
Over 2.25 1.48
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 2.75 1.82
Over 3.0 2.01
Over 3.25 2.25
Over 3.5 2.51
Over 3.75 2.92
Over 4.0 3.80
Over 4.25 4.15
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 4.75 5.55
Over 5.0 7.80
Over 5.5 8.40
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 12.30
Under 1.0 9.10
Under 1.25 5.77
Under 1.5 4.20
Under 1.75 3.72
Under 2.0 3.36
Under 2.25 2.61
Under 2.5 2.18
Under 2.75 1.95
Under 3.0 1.69
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.42
Under 3.75 1.31
Under 4.0 1.19
Under 4.25 1.16
Under 4.5 1.13
Under 4.75 1.08
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 3.45
Home 2.12
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.45
Draw 2.38
Home 2.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.65
Home 2.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.0 1.26
Over 2.25 1.43
Over 2.5 1.58
Over 2.75 1.74
Over 3.0 1.97
Over 3.25 2.23
Over 3.5 2.48
Over 3.75 2.88
Over 4.0 3.65
Over 4.25 4.00
Over 4.5 4.25
Over 4.75 5.20
Over 5.0 7.00
Under 1.5 4.10
Under 2.0 3.35
Under 2.25 2.55
Under 2.5 2.16
Under 2.75 1.94
Under 3.0 1.72
Under 3.25 1.56
Under 3.5 1.46
Under 3.75 1.34
Under 4.0 1.22
Under 4.25 1.19
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 4.75 1.11
Under 5.0 1.06

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 3 1 47:23 24 42
L D W W W
2 17 10 3 4 40:15 25 33
W W D W W
3 17 7 7 3 29:26 3 28
W L D D W
4 17 8 4 5 25:25 0 28
W W L D W
5 17 7 6 4 24:18 6 27
W W W L L
6 16 8 2 6 34:19 15 26
L L W W D
7 17 8 2 7 32:27 5 26
W L W L D
8 17 7 4 6 25:32 -7 25
L W L W D
9
Gais Home
17 6 5 6 21:16 5 23
L W D L W
10 17 5 6 6 25:27 -2 21
W D L D L
11 16 5 5 6 24:23 1 20
W L L D L
12 17 5 4 8 22:38 -16 19
L W W L W
13 17 5 3 9 21:28 -7 18
L L D W D
14 17 4 4 9 17:27 -10 16
W W L L L
15 17 3 4 10 21:40 -19 13
L L W L D
16 17 1 4 12 11:34 -23 7
L L L D L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Gais 6 missing
-
A. Hermansen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
K. Sims
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
K. Holmen
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Lindberg
Missing Fixture Concussion
OUT
-
G. Lundgren
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
B. Asumang
Missing Fixture Concussion
OUT
Malmo FF 7 missing
-
P. Jansson
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. John
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
A. Christiansen
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
Y. Karabelyov
Missing Fixture Head Injury
OUT
-
E. Ekong
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. Sjostrand
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
W. Kamanzi
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT