Login Register
GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
06.05.2026 17:00
David Petriashvili Stadium
Referee: G. Machitidze
Gagra
Match Timeline
Dinamo Batumi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
D. Mandricenco · Assist: L. Tsulukidze
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
46'
V. Arsic ↔ S. Zoidze
Gagra
🟨
49'
L. Kapianidze
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
55'
G. Japaridze ↔ G. Putkaradze
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
60'
L. Lakvekheliani ↔ N. Kalandarishvili
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
65'
A. Peikrishvili ↔ P. Borges
Gagra
⚽
67'
D. Mandricenco · Assist: T. Kirkitadze
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
69'
T. Kirkitadze ↔ G. Kokhreidze
Dinamo Batumi
🟨
75'
M. Tsintsadze
Gagra
🔄
84'
Claudinei ↔ G. Pipia
Gagra
⚽
87'
Z. Tchavtchanidze · Assist: S. Zoidze
Gagra
🟨
90+6'
R. Chiteishvili
Dinamo Batumi

Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 83.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 24.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 31.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
83.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
24.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
31.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Gagra Win 41%
Draw 42.2%
Dinamo Batumi Win 16.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gagra1.39
Dinamo Batumi1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gagra Gagra
WWDLW
16 GF / 23 GA
Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi
WLDWL
12 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
9
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
8
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gagra Gagra 15 matches
Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 14 matches
Gagra Statistic Dinamo Batumi
3 Wins 1
6 Draws 5
6 Losses 8
16 Goals For 12
23 Goals Against 26
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
9 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 7
3.8 Shots On Goal 3.1
0 Total Shots 0
3.8 Corners 4.6
46.2% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dinamo Batumi. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dinamo Batumi having the stronger overall control. Dinamo Batumi arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Gagra Analysis

So far, Gagra have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 10 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 9:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Andreychuk (2 goals), D. Mujiri (2 goals), I. Skrypnyk (2 goals), with creative support from Wanderson (4 assists), A. Andreychuk (2 assists), S. Zoidze (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dinamo Batumi Analysis

Dinamo Batumi sit 10 with 8 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 10:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on N. Kalandarishvili (3 goals), D. Mandricenco (2 goals), A. Mylchenko (1 goals), with creative support from T. Kirkitadze (3 assists), U. Mara (2 assists), G. Japaridze (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gagra won 3 times, Dinamo Batumi won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:29 from Gagra's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83.1%)
Predicted formations: Gagra 4-4-2 / Dinamo Batumi 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gagra wins 3, draws 4, Dinamo Batumi wins 8

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 8 6 47:36 11 50
W W D W W
2 28 14 7 7 35:24 11 49
W L W D L
3 28 15 4 9 40:31 9 49
W L W W W
4 28 13 9 6 45:31 14 48
L W W W D
5 28 12 4 12 39:33 6 40
L W L D W
6 28 9 10 9 46:37 9 37
D L W D D
7 28 10 5 13 41:52 -11 35
W L L L L
8
Gagra Home
28 6 11 11 25:40 -15 29
L D L D L
9 28 5 11 12 37:46 -9 26
D L L D D
10 28 2 11 15 21:46 -25 17
L D L D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2