Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
71.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Fulham
Newcastle
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fulham
40 matches
Newcastle
52 matches
| Fulham | Statistic | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 21 |
| 7 | Draws | 11 |
| 17 | Losses | 20 |
| 50 | Goals For | 88 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 77 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.69 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 36 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 43 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 36 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 21 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.93 | Shots On Goal | 5.13 |
| 13.05 | Total Shots | 13.46 |
| 5.25 | Corners | 5.87 |
| 52.8% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Newcastle. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Fulham sit 13 with 49 points after 37 league matches. The record of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats, together with a 45:51 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Wilson (10 goals), R. Jimenez (9 goals), A. Iwobi (4 goals), with creative support from H. Wilson (6 assists), S. Chukwueze (4 assists), R. Jimenez (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Newcastle have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 49 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses, while the 53:53 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Bruno Guimarães (9 goals), N. Woltemade (9 goals), H. Barnes (7 goals), with creative support from Bruno Guimarães (5 assists), L. Miley (4 assists), N. Woltemade (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fulham won 4 times, Newcastle won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:25 from Fulham's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Fulham
Home
|
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
| 12 |
Newcastle
Away
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|