FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
50.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
FSV Mainz 05 Win 50.1%
Draw 10.1%
Bayer Leverkusen Win 39.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FSV Mainz 052.73
Bayer Leverkusen2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
FSV Mainz 05
WWDLW
48 GF / 11 GA
Bayer Leverkusen
WLDWL
34 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
4
Average Goals Scored
2.83
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
5
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
10
6.25
Shots on Goal
6.6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FSV Mainz 05
12 matches
Bayer Leverkusen
12 matches
| FSV Mainz 05 | Statistic | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 9 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 48 | Goals For | 34 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 4 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.83 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.83 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 6.25 | Shots On Goal | 6.6 |
| 18.25 | Total Shots | 21.4 |
| 6 | Corners | 8.6 |
| 51% | Ball Possession | 60.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 2 times, Bayer Leverkusen won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:31 from FSV Mainz 05's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2 / Bayer Leverkusen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FSV Mainz 05 wins 2, draws 3, Bayer Leverkusen wins 10
Standings
Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 10 |
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 10 |
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
Away
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 7 |
W
D
W
L
|
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
Home
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 7 |
W
L
W
D
|
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 6 |
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | -11 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:17 | -13 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
|
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