Login Register
LATVIA › VIRSLIGA
05.09.2026 14:00
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
Referee: D. Kozlovs
FS Jelgava
Match Timeline
Super Nova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
67'
Bamba ↔ G. Bombans
Super Nova
🔄
69'
F. Hasek ↔ A. Petersons
FS Jelgava
🔄
69'
J. Novikovs ↔ G. Patika
FS Jelgava
🟨
70'
M. Hasek
FS Jelgava
🟨
76'
V. Lizunovs
Super Nova
🔄
78'
R. Kirss ↔ A. Glaudans
Super Nova
🟨
81'
R. Sitjakovs
Super Nova
⚽
84'
A. Glaudans · Assist: E. Emsis
Super Nova
🔄
90'
T. Rataj ↔ A. Dreimanis
FS Jelgava
🔄
90'
R. Melkis ↔ R. Becers
FS Jelgava
🔄
90+1'
V. Lizunovs ↔ N. Pathe
Super Nova
🔄
90+1'
E. Emsis ↔ K. Skadmanis
Super Nova

FS Jelgava vs Super Nova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.6%
1.83 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.85 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
FS Jelgava Win 34.4%
Draw 26.8%
Super Nova Win 38.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FS Jelgava1.28
Super Nova1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
WWDLW
37 GF / 55 GA
Super Nova Super Nova
WLDWL
33 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
15
BTTS Yes
19
14
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 33 matches
Super Nova Super Nova 30 matches
FS Jelgava Statistic Super Nova
9 Wins 9
7 Draws 6
17 Losses 15
37 Goals For 33
55 Goals Against 46
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
15 BTTS Yes 19
24 Over 1.5 24
14 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 6
15 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FS Jelgava have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Super Nova having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Super Nova. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FS Jelgava Analysis

With 28 points from 27 games and a place of 7, FS Jelgava still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 28:46, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Super Nova Analysis

Super Nova sit 6 with 28 points after 25 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 26:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 6 times, Super Nova won 0 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:9 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.2%)
Predicted formations: FS Jelgava 5-4-1 / Super Nova 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FS Jelgava wins 6, draws 6, Super Nova wins 0

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 23 5 2 71:22 49 74
D W D W D
2 31 22 7 2 86:30 56 73
W W D D L
3 31 18 7 6 49:30 19 61
D W D W D
4 31 12 7 12 41:43 -2 43
D D D W L
5 31 10 9 12 35:35 0 39
D L D L D
6 30 10 5 15 29:40 -11 35
L L W W D
7 31 8 8 15 32:49 -17 32
L D L W W
8 31 5 11 15 21:52 -31 26
D D L W L
9 31 5 9 17 44:61 -17 24
D L W L L
10 31 4 6 21 30:76 -46 18
W L D L L