KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 80.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
80.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fortune Sacco Win 88%
Draw 5.6%
Gucha Stars Win 6.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortune Sacco1.37
Gucha Stars0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco
WWDLW
57 GF / 41 GA
Gucha Stars Gucha Stars
WLDWL
30 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
18
BTTS Yes
12
17
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco 36 matches
Gucha Stars Gucha Stars 34 matches
Fortune Sacco Statistic Gucha Stars
16 Wins 10
9 Draws 8
11 Losses 16
57 Goals For 30
41 Goals Against 36
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
18 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 10
12 Over 3.5 5
14 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Fortune Sacco's more proactive style and Gucha Stars's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gucha Stars. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gucha Stars having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Fortune Sacco Analysis

Fortune Sacco are currently 7 in the standings with 57 points from 36 matches. The record of 16 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 57:41 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Gucha Stars Analysis

Gucha Stars are currently 13 in the standings with 41 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 17 losses, while the 32:38 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Fortune Sacco won 2 times, Gucha Stars won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Fortune Sacco's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
H2H summary: Fortune Sacco wins 2, draws 0, Gucha Stars wins 0
Last matches: Fortune Sacco
13.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MCF
3
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
1
3
L
27.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
0
4
L
22.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Talanta
3
4
L
17.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
2
L
06.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Soy United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
1
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
3
3
D
22.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kabati Youth FC
9
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nairobi City Stars
2
3
L
15.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MOFA
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
2
W
Last matches: Gucha Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Talanta
3
2
W
01.06.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
27.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
23.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Luanda Villa
2
1
W
16.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
MOFA
1
2
L
09.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
02.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Nairobi City Stars
0
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Equity Bank
1
1
D
03.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
29.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kisumu All Stars
0
2
L
25.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
3K
0
2
L
22.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Soy United
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
MCF
1
1
D
28.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
1
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Migori Youth
2
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Soy United
0
1
L
24.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
H2H: Fortune Sacco vs Gucha Stars
07.06.26
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
02.11.25
H2H
Gucha Stars
Fortune Sacco
2
3
W
Last matches: Fortune Sacco
27.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
0
4
L
17.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
1
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
1
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
15.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MOFA
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
0
W
21.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
17.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Talanta
3
1
W
07.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Soy United
1
0
W
22.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
29.10.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MCF
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
28.09.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
0
1
L
H2H at home: Fortune Sacco
07.06.26
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
Last matches: Gucha Stars
27.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
MOFA
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
18.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Nairobi City Stars
0
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
29.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kisumu All Stars
0
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
MCF
1
1
D
28.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
1
3
L
15.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Soy United
0
1
L
17.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Equity Bank
2
3
L
07.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
17.12.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Naivas
1
0
W
07.12.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Luanda Villa
0
0
D
23.11.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
3K
0
1
L
09.11.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
29.10.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Talanta
0
0
D
H2H away: Gucha Stars
07.06.26
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Gucha Stars
1
0
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation