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NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
10.05.2026 14:45
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Referee: R. Martens
Fortuna Sittard
Match Timeline
PEC Zwolle
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
21'
L. Duijvestijn · Assist: K. Sierhuis
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
42'
K. de Rooij ↔ G. Reiziger
PEC Zwolle
⚽
50'
Y. Oukili
Fortuna Sittard
⚽
65'
K. Sierhuis
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
69'
N. Fichtinger ↔ J. Monteiro
PEC Zwolle
🔄
73'
O. Velanas ↔ J. Pereira da Gama
PEC Zwolle
🔄
73'
A. Garcia MacNulty ↔ R. Kroeze
PEC Zwolle
⚽
75'
G. Reiziger · Assist: J. Monteiro
PEC Zwolle
🔄
82'
D. Limnios ↔ A. Halilovic
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
82'
T. Schenkhuizen ↔ M. Gbemou
Fortuna Sittard
🟨
89'
Rodney Kroeze
PEC Zwolle
🔄
90+4'
D. Bisschops ↔ H. Korkmazyurek
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
90+4'
K. Sierhuis ↔ G. Buyukhan
Fortuna Sittard
⚽
90'
Z. Buurmeester · Assist: T. Oosting
PEC Zwolle

Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 90.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
90.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fortuna Sittard Win 43%
Draw 47.8%
PEC Zwolle Win 9.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortuna Sittard1.69
PEC Zwolle1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
WWDLW
46 GF / 59 GA
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
WLDWL
42 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.84
Average Goals Conceded
2.06
25
BTTS Yes
22
22
Over 2.5
20
4.53
Shots on Goal
3.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 32 matches
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 32 matches
Fortuna Sittard Statistic PEC Zwolle
10 Wins 9
6 Draws 10
16 Losses 13
46 Goals For 42
59 Goals Against 66
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.84 Avg Goals Conceded 2.06
25 BTTS Yes 22
28 Over 1.5 27
22 Over 2.5 20
12 Over 3.5 14
3 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 5
4.53 Shots On Goal 3.63
12.69 Total Shots 9.78
4.25 Corners 3.59
44.8% Ball Possession 44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Fortuna Sittard have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring PEC Zwolle. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Fortuna Sittard Analysis

With 36 points from 32 games and a place of 13, Fortuna Sittard still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 46:59, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Kaj Sierhuis (11 goals), M. Ihattaren (6 goals), P. Gladon (5 goals), with creative support from M. Ihattaren (10 assists), D. Limnios (6 assists), I. Pinto (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

PEC Zwolle Analysis

From their first 32 matches, PEC Zwolle have collected 37 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 42:66 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Kostons (11 goals), K. de Rooij (6 goals), T. Oosting (6 goals), with creative support from K. Kostons (6 assists), K. de Rooij (5 assists), Y. Namli (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.9%)
Predicted formations: Fortuna Sittard 4-2-3-1 / PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Fortuna Sittard 10, PEC Zwolle 9

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie