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NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
03.05.2026 12:30
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Referee: J. Kooij
Fortuna Sittard
Match Timeline
Feyenoord
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+1'
Philip Brittijn
Fortuna Sittard
🟨
49'
Anis Hadj Moussa
Feyenoord
⚽
51'
K. Sierhuis · Assist: D. Limnios
Fortuna Sittard
🟨
66'
Luciano Valente
Feyenoord
🔄
67'
G. Trauner ↔ J. St. Juste
Feyenoord
🔄
67'
T. Kraaijeveld ↔ G. Read
Feyenoord
🔄
67'
T. van den Elshout ↔ G. Diarra
Feyenoord
🔄
70'
D. Limnios ↔ K. Peterson
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
71'
M. Ihattaren ↔ P. Gladon
Fortuna Sittard
🟨
72'
Jasper Dahlhaus
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
77'
K. Sierhuis ↔ Y. Oukili
Fortuna Sittard
VAR
79'
Paul Gladon
Fortuna Sittard
🟥
80'
Paul Gladon
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
82'
M. Deijl ↔ C. Tengstedt
Feyenoord
⚽
84'
T. Watanabe
Feyenoord
🟨
90+5'
Ayase Ueda
Feyenoord
🔄
90'
I. Marquez ↔ O. Johnson
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
90+4'
L. Valente ↔ J. Lotomba
Feyenoord
⚽
90'
G. Read · Assist: O. Targhalline
Feyenoord

Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fortuna Sittard Win 25.2%
Draw 13%
Feyenoord Win 61.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortuna Sittard1.49
Feyenoord1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
WWDLW
45 GF / 57 GA
Feyenoord Feyenoord
WLDWL
80 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
24
BTTS Yes
25
21
Over 2.5
26
4.58
Shots on Goal
6.02

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 31 matches
Feyenoord Feyenoord 41 matches
Fortuna Sittard Statistic Feyenoord
10 Wins 20
6 Draws 7
15 Losses 14
45 Goals For 80
57 Goals Against 63
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
24 BTTS Yes 25
27 Over 1.5 35
21 Over 2.5 26
12 Over 3.5 17
3 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 7
4.58 Shots On Goal 6.02
12.87 Total Shots 16.15
4.35 Corners 6.49
44.8% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Feyenoord's more proactive style and Fortuna Sittard's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Feyenoord carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 58 points while Fortuna Sittard sit 12 on 36, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Feyenoord. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortuna Sittard expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Feyenoord in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Feyenoord having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Fortuna Sittard have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Fortuna Sittard Analysis

With 36 points from 31 games and a place of 12, Fortuna Sittard still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats with a 45:57 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Kaj Sierhuis (10 goals), M. Ihattaren (6 goals), P. Gladon (5 goals), with creative support from M. Ihattaren (10 assists), D. Limnios (5 assists), I. Pinto (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Feyenoord Analysis

Feyenoord come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 58 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 65:42 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Ueda (25 goals), A. Hadj Moussa (8 goals), S. Steijn (7 goals), with creative support from J. Bos (7 assists), A. Hadj Moussa (6 assists), L. Valente (6 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 1 times, Feyenoord won 11 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:32 from Fortuna Sittard's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: Fortuna Sittard 4-2-3-1 / Feyenoord 4-3-3
Missing players: Fortuna Sittard 9, Feyenoord 10
H2H summary: Fortuna Sittard wins 1, draws 3, Feyenoord wins 11

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie