NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

22.08.2026 14:30

Fortuna Sittard

0 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands

Fortuna Sittard

Match Timeline

AZ Alkmaar

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 56%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 75.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 82.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	56%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	75.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	82.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	73.4%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Fortuna Sittard Win 56%

Draw 4.5%

AZ Alkmaar Win 39.5%

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortuna Sittard1.48

AZ Alkmaar2.06

Recent Form (Last 5)

Fortuna Sittard

WWDLW

12 GF / 11 GA

AZ Alkmaar

WLDWL

19 GF / 9 GA

Key Stats

1.71

Average Goals Scored

2.38

1.57

Average Goals Conceded

1.13

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.5

Shots on Goal

6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortuna Sittard 7 matches

AZ Alkmaar 8 matches

Fortuna Sittard	Statistic	AZ Alkmaar
4	Wins	5
1	Draws	2
2	Losses	1
12	Goals For	19
11	Goals Against	9
1.71	Avg Goals Scored	2.38
1.57	Avg Goals Conceded	1.13
6	BTTS Yes	5
6	Over 1.5	7
6	Over 2.5	5
4	Over 3.5	4
1	Clean Sheets	2
0	Failed To Score	1
6.5	Shots On Goal	6.5
12.5	Total Shots	18
3	Corners	9
30%	Ball Possession	52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 2 times, AZ Alkmaar won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:28 from Fortuna Sittard's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)

Predicted formations: Fortuna Sittard 4-3-3 / AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Fortuna Sittard 2, AZ Alkmaar 4

H2H summary: Fortuna Sittard wins 2, draws 1, AZ Alkmaar wins 10

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	AZ Alkmaar Away	7	6	1	0	18:6	12	19	W D W W W
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25:7	18	17	W W W D W
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24:10	14	16	L W W W W
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15:7	8	16	W W W D W
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21:9	12	14	D W W L W
6	Fortuna Sittard Home	7	4	1	2	13:14	-1	13	W L W W L
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15:9	6	11	D L D W W
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15:13	2	11	W D D L L
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16:14	2	10	D D D L W
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11:9	2	9	W D L D L
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12:13	-1	8	D L D L W
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10:17	-7	5	L L D L D
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5	L D L D L
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10:19	-9	5	D W D L L
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11:24	-13	5	L W D L D
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6:20	-14	4	L L D L W
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7:17	-10	2	D L L D L
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6:20	-14	2	L L D L D