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GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
10.05.2026 11:30
Merkur Spiel-Arena
Referee: W. Haslberger
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Match Timeline
SV Elversberg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
26'
F. Le Joncour
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🟨
30'
Matthias Zimmermann
Fortuna Düsseldorf
⚽
43'
C. Itten · Assist: S. Appelkamp
Fortuna Düsseldorf
⚽
51'
C. Itten · Assist: T. Breithaupt
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
56'
M. Zimmermann ↔ V. Lunddal
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
56'
C. Lenz ↔ S. Suso
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🟨
64'
Cédric Itten
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
66'
L. Petkov ↔ B. Conte
SV Elversberg
🔄
66'
L. Poreba ↔ L. Pinckert
SV Elversberg
🔄
66'
M. Rohr ↔ R. Adam
SV Elversberg
🔄
69'
T. Breithaupt ↔ M. Heyer
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
70'
M. Ljubicic ↔ L. Raimund
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
81'
J. Gyamerah ↔ N. Mickelson
SV Elversberg
🔄
83'
S. Appelkamp ↔ J. Daland
Fortuna Düsseldorf
🔄
88'
T. Zimmerschied ↔ L. Schnellbacher
SV Elversberg
🟨
90+8'
Luca Raimund
Fortuna Düsseldorf
⚽
90'
T. Oberdorf
SV Elversberg

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Elversberg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win 30.1%
Draw 10.8%
SV Elversberg Win 59.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortuna Düsseldorf1.02
SV Elversberg1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf
WWDLW
30 GF / 49 GA
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg
WLDWL
60 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
17
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
18
4.03
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 32 matches
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 32 matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf Statistic SV Elversberg
10 Wins 17
4 Draws 8
18 Losses 7
30 Goals For 60
49 Goals Against 36
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
17 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 26
17 Over 2.5 18
4 Over 3.5 12
5 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 6
4.03 Shots On Goal 5.25
12.72 Total Shots 15.09
4.56 Corners 6.13
48.9% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by SV Elversberg's more proactive style and Fortuna Düsseldorf's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward SV Elversberg. SV Elversberg carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 59 points while Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 16 on 34, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Fortuna Düsseldorf have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Fortuna Düsseldorf Analysis

With 34 points from 32 games and a place of 16, Fortuna Düsseldorf still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 30:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Itten (13 goals), F. Muslija (4 goals), Christian Rasmussen (2 goals), with creative support from F. Muslija (4 assists), Christian Rasmussen (4 assists), C. Itten (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

SV Elversberg Analysis

Placed 2 with 59 points from 32 outings, SV Elversberg continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 17 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 60:36 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Petkov (13 goals), Y. Ebnoutalib (12 goals), Maximilian Rohr (5 goals), with creative support from T. Zimmerschied (8 assists), L. Petkov (6 assists), Lasse Günther (6 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 2 times, SV Elversberg won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Fortuna Düsseldorf's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
Predicted formations: Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2-3-1 / SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fortuna Düsseldorf wins 2, draws 2, SV Elversberg wins 2

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga