Fortaleza FC vs Deportes Tolima Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
65%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.8%
|
2.20 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.1%
|
1.42 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.50 |
Fortaleza FC
Deportes Tolima
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fortaleza FC
29 matches
Deportes Tolima
45 matches
| Fortaleza FC | Statistic | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 19 |
| 12 | Draws | 11 |
| 11 | Losses | 15 |
| 33 | Goals For | 55 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.98 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 3.62 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 11.41 | Total Shots | 13.04 |
| 4.1 | Corners | 4.91 |
| 52.4% | Ball Possession | 56.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportes Tolima's more proactive style and Fortaleza FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportes Tolima. Deportes Tolima carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 31 points while Fortaleza FC sit 15 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Deportes Tolima in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportes Tolima having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Fortaleza FC sit 15 with 22 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats with a 22:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Andrés Arroyo (9 goals), Italo Montaño Cortes (3 goals), Richardson Rivas (3 goals), with creative support from Andrés Arroyo (4 assists), S. Navarro (3 assists), Italo Montaño Cortes (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Deportes Tolima have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 31 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, while the 27:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luis Sandoval (8 goals), Juan Torres (6 goals), A. Parra (5 goals), with creative support from Juan Torres (4 assists), S. Guzmán (4 assists), Luis Sandoval (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza FC won 2 times, Deportes Tolima won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Fortaleza FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.78 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Deportes Tolima
Away
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Fortaleza FC
Home
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
L
D
D
L
|