Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
88.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
78.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fortaleza EC
14 matches
Sport Recife
14 matches
| Fortaleza EC | Statistic | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 4 | Losses | 1 |
| 16 | Goals For | 17 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.64 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.43 | Shots On Goal | 3.71 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 11.57 |
| 4.14 | Corners | 4.14 |
| 39.9% | Ball Possession | 49% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sport Recife. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Fortaleza EC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza EC expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Sport Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Recife having the stronger overall control.
Fortaleza EC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 21 points from 13 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 15:14 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. B. Miritello (3 goals), Vitinho (3 goals), Luiz Fernando (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Ruan Carvalho (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Sport Recife arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 25 points after 14 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 17:9 reflects mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by Chrystian Barletta (6 goals), Pedro Perotti (6 goals), Augusto (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Felipinho (2 assists), de Pena Carlos (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza EC won 9 times, Sport Recife won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:6 from Fortaleza EC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Fortaleza EC
CRB
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Avai
Fortaleza EC
Goias
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Juventude
Sport Recife
CRB
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ceara
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
Avai
Sport Recife
Londrina
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
Goias
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Juventude
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
Londrina
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:17 | 6 | 28 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 25 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 25 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Sport Recife
Away
|
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14:8 | 6 | 22 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Fortaleza EC
Home
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21:18 | 3 | 20 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 20 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 18 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 16 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 15 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | -17 | 8 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10:26 | -16 | 6 |
L
L
W
L
L
|