Fortaleza EC vs Nautico Recife Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.6%
|
1.55 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.98 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.12 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.62 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fortaleza EC
30 matches
Nautico Recife
30 matches
| Fortaleza EC | Statistic | Nautico Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 11 |
| 10 | Draws | 8 |
| 6 | Losses | 11 |
| 35 | Goals For | 38 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.17 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 13.9 | Total Shots | 16.17 |
| 5.27 | Corners | 6.07 |
| 48% | Ball Possession | 57.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Fortaleza EC's more proactive style and Nautico Recife's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Fortaleza EC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 51 points compared to Nautico Recife in 14 on 38, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nautico Recife. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza EC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Nautico Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nautico Recife having the stronger overall control.
Fortaleza EC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 51 points after 29 matches. With 14 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:24, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Vitinho (6 goals), Maílton (4 goals), J. Miritello (3 goals), with creative support from Mauricio Junior (2 assists), Maílton (1 assists), Lucas Gazal (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
With 38 points from 29 games and a place of 14, Nautico Recife still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 35:36 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Vinícius (5 goals), Kaua Almeida da Costa (3 goals), Júnior Todinho (3 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (3 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza EC won 4 times, Nautico Recife won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:3 from Fortaleza EC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 57 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 35:19 | 16 | 56 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 25 | 54 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 53 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
Fortaleza EC
Home
|
31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 52 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46:44 | 2 | 48 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 48 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 47 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 46 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:32 | 11 | 45 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 30:39 | -9 | 42 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Nautico Recife
Away
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 42 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 14 | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 42 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 39 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39:45 | -6 | 28 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21:52 | -31 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17:66 | -49 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|