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01.07.2026 17:00
Tim Hortons Field
Referee: F. Stasolla
Forge
Match Timeline
Vancouver FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
T. Campbell · Assist: E. Bah
Vancouver FC
VAR
36'
Rezart Rama
Forge
⚽
45'
E. Bah
Vancouver FC
🔄
46'
M. Babouli ↔ D. Krutzen
Forge
🔄
58'
M. Filion ↔ B. Wright
Forge
🔄
59'
N. Ampomah ↔ I. Oketokoun
Forge
⚽
61'
T. Borges · Assist: B. Wright
Forge
⚽
64'
D. Krutzen · Assist: A. Batisse
Forge
🔄
65'
T. Campbell ↔ L. Mousset
Vancouver FC
🔄
71'
T. Borges ↔ M. Bourgeois
Forge
🔄
71'
K. Bekker ↔ N. Jensen
Forge
🔄
73'
M. Amissi ↔ N. Mezquida
Vancouver FC
🔄
73'
T. Crawford ↔ A. Ouattara
Vancouver FC
⚽
75'
A. Batisse
Forge
🔄
80'
D. Pecile ↔ L. Toomey
Vancouver FC
🔄
80'
E. Fotsing ↔ T. Powell
Vancouver FC
🟨
90+7'
Rezart Rama
Forge
VAR
90+8'
Rezart Rama
Forge
🟨
90'
Lys Mousset
Vancouver FC

Forge vs Vancouver FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Forge Win 73.3%
Draw 8.2%
Vancouver FC Win 18.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Forge1.43
Vancouver FC0.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Forge Forge
WWDLW
16 GF / 8 GA
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WLDWL
9 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
1.75
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Forge Forge 12 matches
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 12 matches
Forge Statistic Vancouver FC
8 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 7
16 Goals For 9
8 Goals Against 19
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 7
1.75 Shots On Goal 1.5
5.83 Total Shots 5.67
2.5 Corners 2.17
18.7% Ball Possession 19.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Forge's more proactive style and Vancouver FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Forge arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 25 points compared to Vancouver FC in 6 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vancouver FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vancouver FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Forge come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Forge Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 25 points from 10 games, Forge bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:4, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Wright (4 goals), A. Batisse (2 goals), B. Paton (2 goals), with creative support from B. Paton (2 assists), H. Massunda (1 assists), Daniel Nimick (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Vancouver FC Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Vancouver FC have collected 11 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 9:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Amissi (3 goals), T. Campbell (3 goals), K. Proctor (1 goals), with creative support from M. Doner (2 assists), K. Proctor (1 assists), D. Pecile (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Forge won 9 times, Vancouver FC won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:14 from Forge's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Forge 4-3-3 / Vancouver FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Forge wins 9, draws 3, Vancouver FC wins 3

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 5 4 51:19 32 53
L L W D W
2
Forge Home
25 15 6 4 41:20 21 51
W D D D W
3 25 12 4 9 38:41 -3 40
W W L L D
4 26 9 7 10 37:35 2 34
D D D D L
5 26 9 5 12 40:47 -7 32
D W W L W
6 25 7 6 12 38:42 -4 27
D L W W L
7 25 6 9 10 40:56 -16 27
L W L D L
8 25 2 8 15 30:55 -25 14
L L W D L