CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Tim Hortons Field
Forge
Match Timeline
Supra du Quebec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
I. Conde
Supra du Quebec
22'
H. Massunda · Assist: T. Borges
Forge
🟨
29'
C. Auguste
Supra du Quebec
30'
D. Nimick
Forge
39'
I. Conde · Assist: D. Choiniere
Supra du Quebec
🔄
46'
T. Borges ↔ A. Sadek
Forge
🔄
64'
K. Bekker ↔ A. Aromatario
Forge
🔄
64'
R. Bey ↔ L. A. Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
🟨
65'
A. Aromatario
Forge
🔄
69'
N. Ampomah ↔ M. Babouli
Forge
🔄
69'
I. Oketokoun ↔ B. Wright
Forge
🟨
73'
L. A. Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
🔄
75'
H. Massunda ↔ K. Tavernier
Forge
77'
A. Sadek · Assist: M. Bourgeois
Forge
🔄
81'
A. Biello ↔ A. Sissoko
Supra du Quebec
🔄
81'
T. Lebeuf ↔ A. Makarova
Supra du Quebec
🔄
81'
D. Choiniere ↔ C. Bayiha
Supra du Quebec
🔄
90'
C. Auguste ↔ Z. Fernandez
Supra du Quebec
🔄
90+1'
A. Sadek ↔ Z. Bruno
Forge

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.65
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.8%
1.65
BTTS Yes
86%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.71
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
79.2%
1.22
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Forge Win 62.8%
Draw 4.1%
Supra du Quebec Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Forge1.56
Supra du Quebec1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Forge Forge
WWDLW
25 GF / 15 GA
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WLDWL
23 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.44
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.81
8
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
10
2.53
Shots on Goal
1.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Forge Forge 18 matches
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 16 matches
Forge Statistic Supra du Quebec
11 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 8
25 Goals For 23
15 Goals Against 29
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.81
8 BTTS Yes 13
9 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 3
2.53 Shots On Goal 1.29
7.29 Total Shots 5.5
2.94 Corners 1.86
22.1% Ball Possession 23.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Forge's more proactive style and Supra du Quebec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Supra du Quebec having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Supra du Quebec. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Forge arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 35 points compared to Supra du Quebec in 5 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Forge Analysis

Forge come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 35 points after 15 matches. The return of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 23:9, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Placed 5 with 18 points from 15 outings, Supra du Quebec continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 22:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Forge won 2 times, Supra du Quebec won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Forge's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Forge 4-3-3 / Supra du Quebec -
H2H summary: Forge wins 2, draws 0, Supra du Quebec wins 0
Last matches: Forge
15.08.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
07.08.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
0
1
L
02.08.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
26.07.26
Can
Forge
York United
3
1
W
05.07.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
01.07.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
3
2
W
10.06.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
07.06.26
Can
Forge
York United
4
1
W
31.05.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
02.05.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Forge
Pacific FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
11.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
04.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
16.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
09.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
01.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
2
1
W
29.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
24.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
L
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
H2H: Forge vs Supra du Quebec
05.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
W
13.05.26
H2H
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
Last matches: Forge
07.08.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
0
1
L
01.07.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
3
2
W
10.06.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
31.05.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
13.05.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
18.04.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
04.04.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
04.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
H2H at home: Forge
13.05.26
H2H
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
01.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
2
1
W
29.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
24.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
H2H away: Supra du Quebec
13.05.26
H2H
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.43
Draw 3.86
Home 1.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.25 1.51
Over 2.5 1.71
Over 2.75 1.91
Over 3.0 2.20
Over 3.25 2.46
Over 3.5 2.74
Under 2.0 3.13
Under 2.25 2.43
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.64
Under 3.25 1.50
Under 3.5 1.41
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 3.60
Home 1.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.30
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.62
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.92
Draw 3.72
Home 1.59
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.30
Draw 2.18
Home 2.16
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.82
Draw 2.66
Home 1.90
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.08
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 1.75 1.23
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.48
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 2.75 1.85
Over 3.0 2.12
Over 3.25 2.40
Over 3.5 2.66
Over 3.75 3.22
Over 4.0 4.25
Over 4.25 4.61
Over 4.5 4.95
Over 4.75 6.35
Over 5.0 9.00
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.0 7.90
Under 1.25 5.50
Under 1.5 3.95
Under 1.75 3.51
Under 2.0 3.08
Under 2.25 2.37
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 2.75 1.83
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.25 1.48
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 3.75 1.27
Under 4.0 1.15
Under 4.25 1.13
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 11 4 2 33:10 23 37
W D W W L
2
Forge Home
16 11 2 3 24:11 13 35
L L D W W
3 17 8 3 6 26:17 9 27
D W W W W
4 17 8 3 6 27:30 -3 27
W W L W D
5 16 5 3 8 23:29 -6 18
L D W L W
6 18 4 5 9 24:30 -6 17
L L D L D
7 15 4 5 6 20:34 -14 17
W D L L D
8 16 0 5 11 18:34 -16 5
D D L L L