19.08.2026 23:00
Tim Hortons Field
Referee: M. Venne
Forge
Match Timeline
Supra du Quebec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
Ibrahim Condé
Supra du Quebec
⚽
22'
Hoce Massunda · Assist: Tristan Borges
Forge
🟨
29'
Charles Auguste
Supra du Quebec
⚽
30'
Daniel Nimick
Forge
⚽
39'
Ibrahim Condé · Assist: David Choiniere
Supra du Quebec
🔄
46'
Tristan Borges ↔ Aghilas Sadek
Forge
🔄
64'
Kyle Bekker ↔ Anthony Aromatario
Forge
🔄
64'
Riad Bey ↔ Loïc Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
🟨
65'
Anthony Aromatario
Forge
🔄
69'
Ismael Oketokoun ↔ Brian Wright
Forge
🔄
69'
Nana Ampomah ↔ Molham Babouli
Forge
🟨
73'
Loïc Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
🔄
75'
Hoce Massunda ↔ Kevaughn Tavernier
Forge
⚽
77'
Aghilas Sadek · Assist: Maxime Bourgeois
Forge
🔄
81'
David Choiniere ↔ Clement Bayiha
Supra du Quebec
🔄
81'
Alessandro Biello ↔ Aboubacar Sissoko
Supra du Quebec
🔄
81'
Thomas Lebeuf ↔ Alexander Makarova
Supra du Quebec
🔄
90'
Aghilas Sadek ↔ Zayne Bruno
Forge
🔄
90'
Charles Auguste ↔ Zachary Fernandez
Supra du Quebec

Forge vs Supra du Quebec Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
79.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Forge Win 62.8%
Draw 4.1%
Supra du Quebec Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Forge1.56
Supra du Quebec1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Forge Forge
WWDLW
25 GF / 15 GA
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WLDWL
23 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.44
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.81
8
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
10
2.5
Shots on Goal
1.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Forge Forge 18 matches
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 16 matches
Forge Statistic Supra du Quebec
11 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 8
25 Goals For 23
15 Goals Against 29
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.81
8 BTTS Yes 13
9 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 3
2.5 Shots On Goal 1.56
7.33 Total Shots 5.75
2.83 Corners 2
22.5% Ball Possession 23.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Forge's more proactive style and Supra du Quebec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Supra du Quebec having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Supra du Quebec. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Forge arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 35 points compared to Supra du Quebec in 5 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Forge Analysis

Forge come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 35 points after 15 matches. The return of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 23:9, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Placed 5 with 18 points from 15 outings, Supra du Quebec continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 22:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Forge won 3 times, Supra du Quebec won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Forge's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Forge 4-3-3 / Supra du Quebec 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Forge wins 3, draws 0, Supra du Quebec wins 1

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 5 4 51:19 32 53
L L W D W
2
Forge Home
24 14 6 4 38:20 18 48
D D D W D
3 25 12 4 9 38:41 -3 40
W W L L D
4 25 9 6 10 35:33 2 33
D D D L W
5 24 8 4 12 36:44 -8 28
W L W L L
6 25 7 6 12 38:42 -4 27
D L W W L
7 24 6 9 9 39:54 -15 27
W L D L W
8 24 2 8 14 30:52 -22 14
L W D L D