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07.10.2026 23:00
Tim Hortons Field
Referee: I. Jecanski

Forge vs Pacific FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.27
BTTS
Yes
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.41
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.2%
1.27 ▥
BTTS Yes
72.6%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.3%
1.41 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.30 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.67 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Forge Win 79.2%
Draw 3.4%
Pacific FC Win 17.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Forge1.77
Pacific FC1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Forge Forge
WWDLW
39 GF / 24 GA
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WLDWL
30 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
13
BTTS Yes
17
11
Over 2.5
15
2.81
Shots on Goal
2.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Forge Forge 26 matches
Pacific FC Pacific FC 24 matches
Forge Statistic Pacific FC
14 Wins 2
7 Draws 8
5 Losses 14
39 Goals For 30
24 Goals Against 52
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
13 BTTS Yes 17
16 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 7
2.81 Shots On Goal 2.54
8.42 Total Shots 7.46
3.23 Corners 2.63
26.9% Ball Possession 30%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Forge's more proactive style and Pacific FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pacific FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Forge arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 48 points compared to Pacific FC in 8 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Forge expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Pacific FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pacific FC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Forge Analysis

Forge come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 48 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, while the 38:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Bourgeois (2 goals), N. Jensen (1 goals), I. Oketokoun (1 goals), with creative support from N. Jensen (2 assists), I. Oketokoun (2 assists), H. Massunda (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Pacific FC Analysis

Pacific FC are currently 8 in the standings with 14 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 30:52 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Bustos (3 goals), Y. Toualy (2 goals), R. Kratt (2 goals), with creative support from M. Bustos (2 assists), Y. Toualy (1 assists), R. Kratt (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Forge won 11 times, Pacific FC won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:5 from Forge's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Forge 4-3-3 / Pacific FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Forge wins 11, draws 1, Pacific FC wins 3

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 5 4 51:19 32 53
L L W D W
2
Forge Home
24 14 6 4 38:20 18 48
D D D W D
3 25 12 4 9 38:41 -3 40
W W L L D
4 25 9 6 10 35:33 2 33
D D D L W
5 24 8 4 12 36:44 -8 28
W L W L L
6 25 7 6 12 38:42 -4 27
D L W W L
7 24 6 9 9 39:54 -15 27
W L D L W
8 24 2 8 14 30:52 -22 14
L W D L D