CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Tim Hortons Field
Referee: S. Bowman
Forge
Match Timeline
HFX Wanderers FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
M. Jevremovic ↔ M. Bourgeois
Forge
🟨
53'
I. Johnston
HFX Wanderers FC
57'
B. Wright
Forge
🟨
58'
B. Wright
Forge
🟨
64'
J. Alphonse
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
64'
H. Massunda ↔ N. Ampomah
Forge
🔄
64'
B. Wright ↔ M. Filion
Forge
🔄
65'
A. Sadek ↔ N. Jensen
Forge
🔄
65'
M. Arilla ↔ J. Bahamboula
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
69'
T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
72'
A. Aromatario
Forge
🔄
76'
S. Zitman ↔ V. Akinwale
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
77'
T. Borges ↔ K. Bekker
Forge
🔄
83'
T. Ciccarelli ↔ H. Hughes
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
83'
F. Troisi ↔ Y. Bai
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
86'
V. Sartini
HFX Wanderers FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.9%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Forge Win 68.9%
Draw 9.1%
HFX Wanderers FC Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Forge1.34
HFX Wanderers FC0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Forge Forge
WWDLW
15 GF / 8 GA
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WLDWL
9 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
0.9
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
1.91
Shots on Goal
1.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Forge Forge 11 matches
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 10 matches
Forge Statistic HFX Wanderers FC
7 Wins 2
2 Draws 4
2 Losses 4
15 Goals For 9
8 Goals Against 13
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
1.91 Shots On Goal 1.11
6.36 Total Shots 3.22
2.73 Corners 1.33
20.4% Ball Possession 19.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Forge's more proactive style and HFX Wanderers FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward HFX Wanderers FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HFX Wanderers FC having the stronger overall control. Forge arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 19 points compared to HFX Wanderers FC in 6 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Forge Analysis

Forge come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 19 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, while the 10:3 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on B. Wright (3 goals), A. Batisse (2 goals), B. Paton (1 goals), with creative support from B. Paton (2 assists), Daniel Nimick (1 assists), H. Massunda (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC sit 6 with 9 points after 8 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on I. Johnston (4 goals), T. Ciccarelli (2 goals), C. Kachwele (1 goals), with creative support from I. Johnston (2 assists), M. Arilla (1 assists), Victor Akinwale (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Forge won 9 times, HFX Wanderers FC won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:14 from Forge's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
Predicted formations: Forge 4-2-3-1 / HFX Wanderers FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Forge wins 9, draws 3, HFX Wanderers FC wins 3

Lineups

Forge
Formation
HFX Wanderers FC
D. Bertaud
D. Bertaud
R. Rama
R. Rama
D. Nimick
D. Nimick
A. Batisse
A. Batisse
M. Jevremovic
M. Jevremovic
B. Paton
B. Paton
A. Aromatario
A. Aromatario
H. Massunda
H. Massunda
T. Borges
T. Borges
A. Sadek
A. Sadek
B. Wright
B. Wright
M. Carducci
M. Carducci
F. Troisi
F. Troisi
F. Linder
F. Linder
K. Sow
K. Sow
J. Alphonse
J. Alphonse
L. Callegari
L. Callegari
L. Olguin
L. Olguin
S. Zitman
S. Zitman
M. Arilla
M. Arilla
T. Ciccarelli
T. Ciccarelli
I. Johnston
I. Johnston
Forge 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
D. Bertaud
24
R. Rama
5
D. Nimick
8
A. Batisse
3
M. Jevremovic
↓ 46'
6
B. Paton
23
A. Aromatario
🟨 72'
17
H. Massunda
↓ 64'
19
T. Borges
↓ 77'
26
A. Sadek
↓ 65'
9
B. Wright
⚽ 57' ↓ 64' 🟨 58'
Substitutes
36
D. Bontis
10
K. Bekker
↑ 77'
18
M. Babouli
11
N. Ampomah
↑ 64'
87
M. Bourgeois
↑ 46'
22
N. Jensen
↑ 65'
12
M. Filion
↑ 64'
HFX Wanderers FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Carducci
17
F. Troisi
↓ 83'
2
F. Linder
16
K. Sow
21
J. Alphonse
🟨 64'
6
L. Callegari
5
L. Olguin
22
S. Zitman
↓ 76'
23
M. Arilla
↓ 65'
20
T. Ciccarelli
↓ 83' 🟨 69'
8
I. Johnston
🟨 53'
Substitutes
12
S. Astridge
9
V. Akinwale
↑ 76'
41
H. Hughes
↑ 83'
10
Y. Bai
↑ 83'
14
J. Bahamboula
↑ 65'
33
I. A. Hassan
Last matches: Forge
07.06.26
Can
Forge
York United
4
1
W
31.05.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
02.05.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Forge
Pacific FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
11.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
04.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
H2H: Forge vs HFX Wanderers FC
10.06.26
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
4
0
W
02.05.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
W
06.09.25
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
25.07.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
2
W
08.06.25
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
07.05.25
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
03.05.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
14.09.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
3
0
L
14.08.24
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
27.07.24
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
0
W
15.06.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
2
2
D
30.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
2
1
L
19.08.23
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
30.06.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
2
1
L
Last matches: Forge
31.05.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
13.05.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
18.04.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
04.04.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
04.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
H2H at home: Forge
10.06.26
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
4
0
W
06.09.25
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
08.06.25
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
07.05.25
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
14.08.24
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
27.07.24
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
0
W
19.08.23
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
H2H away: HFX Wanderers FC
10.06.26
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
L
09.05.26
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
4
0
L
06.09.25
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
L
08.06.25
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
L
07.05.25
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
L
14.08.24
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
L
27.07.24
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
0
L
19.08.23
H2H
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Forge Home
10 8 1 1 15:4 11 25
W W W L W
2 10 7 2 1 19:5 14 23
W W L W W
3 10 4 2 4 15:18 -3 14
W L D W W
4 9 3 3 3 13:17 -4 12
L L L D W
5 9 3 2 4 13:14 -1 11
L D W D L
6 10 3 2 5 9:11 -2 11
W W L D L
7 10 2 3 5 9:14 -5 9
L L W D L
8 10 0 3 7 10:20 -10 3
L D D L L
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)