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10.06.2026 23:00
Tim Hortons Field
Referee: S. Bowman
Forge
Match Timeline
HFX Wanderers FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
M. Jevremovic ↔ M. Bourgeois
Forge
🟨
53'
I. Johnston
HFX Wanderers FC
⚽
57'
B. Wright
Forge
🟨
58'
B. Wright
Forge
🟨
64'
J. Alphonse
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
64'
H. Massunda ↔ N. Ampomah
Forge
🔄
64'
B. Wright ↔ M. Filion
Forge
🔄
65'
A. Sadek ↔ N. Jensen
Forge
🔄
65'
M. Arilla ↔ J. Bahamboula
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
69'
T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
72'
A. Aromatario
Forge
🔄
76'
S. Zitman ↔ V. Akinwale
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
77'
T. Borges ↔ K. Bekker
Forge
🔄
83'
T. Ciccarelli ↔ H. Hughes
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
83'
F. Troisi ↔ Y. Bai
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
86'
V. Sartini
HFX Wanderers FC

Forge vs HFX Wanderers FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Forge Win 68.9%
Draw 9.1%
HFX Wanderers FC Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Forge1.34
HFX Wanderers FC0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Forge Forge
WWDLW
15 GF / 8 GA
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WLDWL
9 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
0.9
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
1.91
Shots on Goal
1.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Forge Forge 11 matches
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 10 matches
Forge Statistic HFX Wanderers FC
7 Wins 2
2 Draws 4
2 Losses 4
15 Goals For 9
8 Goals Against 13
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
1.91 Shots On Goal 1.11
6.36 Total Shots 3.22
2.73 Corners 1.33
20.4% Ball Possession 19.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Forge's more proactive style and HFX Wanderers FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward HFX Wanderers FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HFX Wanderers FC having the stronger overall control. Forge arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 19 points compared to HFX Wanderers FC in 6 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Forge Analysis

Forge come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 19 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, while the 10:3 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on B. Wright (3 goals), A. Batisse (2 goals), B. Paton (1 goals), with creative support from B. Paton (2 assists), Daniel Nimick (1 assists), H. Massunda (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC sit 6 with 9 points after 8 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on I. Johnston (4 goals), T. Ciccarelli (2 goals), C. Kachwele (1 goals), with creative support from I. Johnston (2 assists), M. Arilla (1 assists), Victor Akinwale (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Forge won 9 times, HFX Wanderers FC won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:12 from Forge's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
Predicted formations: Forge 4-2-3-1 / HFX Wanderers FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Forge wins 9, draws 4, HFX Wanderers FC wins 2

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 5 4 51:19 32 53
L L W D W
2
Forge Home
25 15 6 4 41:20 21 51
W D D D W
3 25 12 4 9 38:41 -3 40
W W L L D
4 26 9 7 10 37:35 2 34
D D D D L
5 26 9 5 12 40:47 -7 32
D W W L W
6 25 7 6 12 38:42 -4 27
D L W W L
7 25 6 9 10 40:56 -16 27
L W L D L
8 25 2 8 15 30:55 -25 14
L L W D L