Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
92.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
74%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Fluminense
Vitoria
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fluminense
18 matches
Vitoria
13 matches
| Fluminense | Statistic | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 25 | Goals For | 16 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 6 | Shots On Goal | 4.08 |
| 15.5 | Total Shots | 10.77 |
| 5.17 | Corners | 3.77 |
| 61.6% | Ball Possession | 43.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Fluminense's more proactive style and Vitoria's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vitoria. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Placed 3 with 26 points from 14 outings, Fluminense continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 23:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through John Kennedy (6 goals), Agustín Canobbio (3 goals), Hércules (3 goals), with creative support from L. Acosta (3 assists), J. Savarino (2 assists), Guga (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Vitoria sit 9 with 18 points after 13 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 16:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Erick (2 goals), Gabriel Baralhas (2 goals), Matheuzinho (2 goals), with creative support from Erick (3 assists), Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), Matheuzinho (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense won 3 times, Vitoria won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:21 from Fluminense's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Fluminense
5
3
5
5
2
2
Lineups
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Flamengo
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Coritiba
Fluminense
Corinthians
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Remo
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Vitoria
Santos
Vitoria
Internacional
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
Coritiba
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Corinthians
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Mirassol
Vitoria
Gremio
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
Bahia
Vitoria
Flamengo
Vitoria
Palmeiras
Vitoria
Remo
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Flamengo
Fluminense
Corinthians
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Botafogo
Fluminense
Gremio
Vitoria
Santos
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Gremio
Vitoria
Bahia
Vitoria
Palmeiras
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 |
Fluminense
Home
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
Vitoria
Away
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|