Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fluminense
40 matches
Palmeiras
38 matches
| Fluminense | Statistic | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 21 |
| 13 | Draws | 12 |
| 9 | Losses | 5 |
| 63 | Goals For | 62 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.79 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.29 | Shots On Goal | 5.13 |
| 14.08 | Total Shots | 15.82 |
| 4.92 | Corners | 6.13 |
| 59% | Ball Possession | 53.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Palmeiras's more proactive style and Fluminense's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Palmeiras. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fluminense expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Palmeiras in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Palmeiras having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Fluminense enter this tie with a season profile built on 8 points from 6 matches, placing them 2 in their league. The return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 7:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by A. Canobbio (2 goals), John Kennedy (2 goals), Hulk (1 goals), with creative support from Hulk (2 assists), J. Savarino (1 assists), Martinelli (1 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a more cautious and defensive approach.
Ahead of this knockout test, Palmeiras arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 11 points after 6 matches. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 10:5, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on J. López (3 goals), J. Arias (3 goals), Ramón Sosa (2 goals), with creative support from J. López (4 assists), J. Arias (2 assists), Allan (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Fluminense
Home
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
L
L
D
L
D
|