BRAZIL › SERIE C
03.10.2026 20:00
Floresta
Match Timeline
Botafogo PB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
Garraty
Floresta
🟨
45'
Garraty
Floresta
🔄
46'
Thallyson ↔ Kayon
Botafogo PB
🔄
46'
Garraty ↔ Thalisson
Floresta
🔄
57'
Patric Calmon ↔ Bull
Botafogo PB
🔄
57'
Diogo Mateus ↔ Leo Pereira
Botafogo PB
🔄
58'
Rafinha ↔ Matheus Lima
Floresta
🔄
72'
Jhony Douglas ↔ Danrley
Floresta
🔄
79'
Gustavo ↔ Caio Garcia
Botafogo PB
🔄
87'
Dudu Hatamoto ↔ Diego Tavares
Botafogo PB
🟨
90'
Rafa Marcos
Floresta
⚽
90+6'
R. Bastos
Botafogo PB

Floresta vs Botafogo PB Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.1%
1.33 ▥
BTTS Yes
53.4%
2.38 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.40 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Floresta Win 51.4%
Draw 4.9%
Botafogo PB Win 43.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Floresta1.02
Botafogo PB1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Floresta Floresta
WWDLW
24 GF / 23 GA
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WLDWL
31 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Floresta Floresta 23 matches
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 24 matches
Floresta Statistic Botafogo PB
9 Wins 11
7 Draws 4
7 Losses 9
24 Goals For 31
23 Goals Against 24
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Botafogo PB arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Botafogo PB. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Botafogo PB having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Floresta Analysis

Floresta approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 30 points after 19 outings. With 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Botafogo PB sit 1 with 33 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 28:19 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Floresta won 3 times, Botafogo PB won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Floresta's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Floresta wins 3, draws 1, Botafogo PB wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
D D L L L
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D L D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
L D W W D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
D D W L W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D W D D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
W L D L L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D D W W W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation