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BRAZIL › SERIE C
16.05.2026 22:30
Referee: K. Goncalves
Floresta
Match Timeline
Amazonas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
Matheus Martins
Floresta
⚽
39'
Jeam
Floresta
⚽
41'
Leo Coelho
Amazonas
🔄
46'
Jhonny Lucas ↔ Fabinho
Amazonas
🟨
48'
Floresta
Floresta
🟨
49'
Amazonas
Amazonas
🟨
49'
Amazonas
Amazonas
⚽
56'
Garraty
Floresta
⚽
59'
Gabriel Domingos
Amazonas
🔄
62'
Ronaldo ↔ Marcelo Cirino
Amazonas
🔄
62'
Leo Guerra ↔ Vinicius Leite
Amazonas
🔄
66'
Jeam ↔ Joao Celeri
Floresta
🔄
66'
Matheus Martins ↔ Daniel
Floresta
🔄
66'
Eliandro ↔ Buga
Floresta
🟨
67'
Danrley
Floresta
🔄
70'
P. Nunez ↔ Rafael Tavares
Amazonas
🔄
74'
Garraty ↔ Matheusinho
Floresta
🔄
74'
Danrley ↔ Guilherme Borges
Floresta
🟨
79'
Guilherme Borges
Floresta
🔄
82'
Fabiano ↔ Alyson
Amazonas
🟨
83'
Leo Coelho
Amazonas
🟨
90+3'
Vinicius Leite
Amazonas
🟨
90+5'
Daniel
Floresta

Floresta vs Amazonas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
82.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
55.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Floresta Win 17.4%
Draw 0%
Amazonas Win 82.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Floresta0.73
Amazonas1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Floresta Floresta
WWDLW
6 GF / 5 GA
Amazonas Amazonas
WLDWL
8 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.33
4
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Floresta Floresta 6 matches
Amazonas Amazonas 6 matches
Floresta Statistic Amazonas
2 Wins 4
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
6 Goals For 8
5 Goals Against 2
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.33
4 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Amazonas. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Amazonas having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Amazonas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 13 points while Floresta sit 10 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Floresta Analysis

Floresta are currently 10 in the standings with 9 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 6:5 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Daniel (2 goals), Eliandro (1 goals), Garraty (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Amazonas Analysis

Amazonas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 13 points after 6 matches. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:2, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by N. Schiappacasse (3 goals), Gabriel Cipriano (2 goals), Gabriel Domingos (1 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Floresta won 1 times, Amazonas won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Floresta's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Floresta wins 1, draws 1, Amazonas wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W D D L L
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D D L D
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W L D W W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W D D W L
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L D D L W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L D W D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
D W L D L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
L D D W W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation