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ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA
13.06.2026 16:00
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: K. Tohver
Flora Tallinn
Match Timeline
FC Levadia Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
R. Sappinen · Assist: S. Alamaa
Flora Tallinn
⚽
22'
M. Skvortsov
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
48'
A. Kollo
Flora Tallinn
🟨
53'
N. Kalmokov
Flora Tallinn
⚽
54'
Wendell · Assist: Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
59'
D. Kuraksin ↔ R. Alliku
Flora Tallinn
🟨
61'
R. Alliku
Flora Tallinn
🟨
62'
J. Saliste
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
70'
Joao Pedro ↔ M. Sambe
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
73'
R. Valdmets ↔ T. Usta
Flora Tallinn
🔄
73'
R. Veering ↔ S. Zenjov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
75'
M. Skvortsov ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
83'
M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
85'
N. Kalmokov ↔ O. Pihela
Flora Tallinn
🔄
85'
S. Alamaa ↔ I. Antonov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
86'
M. Roosnupp ↔ T. Tammik
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
86'
Wendell ↔ Alexandre
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
90+3'
E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
⚽
90'
M. Ainsalu · Assist: E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn

Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Flora Tallinn Win 42.5%
Draw 5.1%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 52.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Flora Tallinn1.6
FC Levadia Tallinn1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WWDLW
40 GF / 19 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
48 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.53
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 20 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 19 matches
Flora Tallinn Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
13 Wins 13
1 Draws 4
6 Losses 2
40 Goals For 48
19 Goals Against 19
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.53
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Levadia Tallinn. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Flora Tallinn come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 27 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, while the 29:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on R. Sappinen (8 goals), S. Zenjov (5 goals), S. Alamaa (4 goals), with creative support from S. Alamaa (5 assists), R. Sappinen (4 assists), S. Zenjov (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 36 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 39:10 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by B. Tambedou (11 goals), Wendell (8 goals), E. Otoo (4 goals), with creative support from M. Ainsalu (6 assists), M. Skvortsov (5 assists), J. Saliste (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flora Tallinn won 7 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from Flora Tallinn's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: Flora Tallinn wins 7, draws 1, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 7

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 23 6 1 82:21 61 75
W D W W W
2 29 18 1 10 59:39 20 55
W W D W W
3 30 15 6 9 48:37 11 51
L W W L W
4 30 15 5 10 52:28 24 50
L W W L L
5 30 15 2 13 41:47 -6 47
W L L W L
6 30 12 2 16 41:47 -6 38
W D W L L
7 30 10 5 15 41:59 -18 35
D L L L W
8 29 8 5 16 31:49 -18 29
D L L W D
9 30 9 1 20 47:72 -25 28
L L L W L
10 30 5 5 20 24:67 -43 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga