FRANCE › LIGUE 3
03.10.2026 18:45
Stade Robert Bobin
Fleury 91
Match Timeline
Caen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
30'
A. Gnanduillet · Assist: I. Botella
Caen
⚽
39'
K. Farade · Assist: V. Lavigne
Fleury 91
🔄
46'
V. Lavigne ↔ C. Khetir
Fleury 91
⚽
60'
Y. Verdier · Assist: K. Farade
Fleury 91
⚽
64'
Y. Diaby · Assist: I. Botella
Caen
🔄
69'
Y. Le Mehaute ↔ G. Lefebvre
Fleury 91
🔄
70'
A. Gnanduillet ↔ S. Diakite
Caen
🔄
72'
M. Jean-Pierre ↔ T. Plisson
Fleury 91
⚽
74'
Y. Verdier
Fleury 91
🔄
79'
D. Bolumbu ↔ S. Mbaka
Caen
🔄
79'
L. Milliner ↔ H. Saivet
Caen
🔄
82'
Y. Verdier ↔ M. Belliard
Fleury 91
🔄
82'
R. Leleve ↔ J. Rivas
Fleury 91
🔄
86'
Z. Bagbema ↔ F. Bomo
Caen
🟨
88'
M. Belliard
Fleury 91
🟨
90+3'
T. Plisson
Fleury 91
🟥
90+6'
Y. Diaby
Caen

Fleury 91 vs Caen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 70%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
70%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.62 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.26 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Fleury 91 Win 30%
Draw 20.1%
Caen Win 49.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fleury 911.25
Caen2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fleury 91 Fleury 91
WWDLW
14 GF / 22 GA
Caen Caen
WLDWL
29 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
2.23
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
8
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fleury 91 Fleury 91 12 matches
Caen Caen 13 matches
Fleury 91 Statistic Caen
2 Wins 8
3 Draws 1
7 Losses 4
14 Goals For 29
22 Goals Against 18
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.23
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
8 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Caen. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Caen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 15 points while Fleury 91 sit 13 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Caen having the stronger overall control.

Fleury 91 Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Fleury 91 have collected 9 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 11:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Caen Analysis

Caen come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 15 points after 8 matches. The return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 15:9, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Fleury 91 won 0 times, Caen won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Fleury 91's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
H2H summary: Fleury 91 wins 0, draws 0, Caen wins 2

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 15:8 7 21
W W W D D
2 9 6 2 1 17:5 12 20
W L W W D
3 9 4 4 1 12:8 4 16
W D W W D
4 9 5 1 3 13:12 1 16
W W D W L
5 9 4 3 2 12:3 9 15
W D W D W
6 9 3 6 0 11:4 7 15
W D D D W
7
Caen Away
9 5 0 4 17:12 5 15
L W L W W
8 9 4 1 4 11:9 2 13
W L W L D
9 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
L L D L D
10 9 3 3 3 15:12 3 12
W L D W W
11 9 3 3 3 7:9 -2 12
L W D L D
12 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
D L D W L
13 9 2 4 3 8:12 -4 10
L D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 7:11 -4 9
D D L L D
15 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L W L L D
16 9 2 1 6 6:12 -6 7
L W L L D
17 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
L D D L L
18 9 1 1 7 7:22 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation