ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
10.10.2026 14:00
Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood Town vs Walsall Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fleetwood Town Win 32%
Draw 19.9%
Walsall Win 48.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fleetwood Town1.17
Walsall0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
WWDLW
20 GF / 13 GA
Walsall Walsall
WLDWL
11 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.92
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
7
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
4
3.33
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 15 matches
Walsall Walsall 12 matches
Fleetwood Town Statistic Walsall
6 Wins 3
5 Draws 7
4 Losses 2
20 Goals For 11
13 Goals Against 11
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
7 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 7
3.33 Shots On Goal 4
14.44 Total Shots 14.63
4.89 Corners 6.5
50.8% Ball Possession 57.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Walsall's more proactive style and Fleetwood Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fleetwood Town expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Walsall in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Walsall having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Walsall carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 14 points while Fleetwood Town sit 14 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Walsall.

Fleetwood Town Analysis

With 10 points from 8 games and a place of 14, Fleetwood Town still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 9:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Loupalo-Bi (2 goals), W. Davies (2 goals), R. Coughlan (1 goals), with creative support from C. Evans (2 assists), A. Loupalo-Bi (1 assists), R. Coughlan (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Walsall Analysis

Placed 5 with 14 points from 8 outings, Walsall continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 11:5 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Smith (2 goals), A. Pressley (1 goals), J. Connolly (1 goals), with creative support from R. Smith (1 assists), M. Hancock (1 assists), E. Ahui (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fleetwood Town won 6 times, Walsall won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Fleetwood Town's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.1%)
Predicted formations: Fleetwood Town 3-1-4-2 / Walsall 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fleetwood Town wins 6, draws 2, Walsall wins 7

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 13:10 3 16
W W W D W
2 7 4 3 0 17:10 7 15
W W D D D
3 9 3 6 0 11:7 4 15
W D D D D
4 9 4 3 2 16:14 2 15
L W D W D
5 9 5 0 4 14:14 0 15
L W L L W
6 8 4 2 2 16:10 6 14
W L W D L
7 8 3 5 0 11:5 6 14
D W D D D
8 9 4 2 3 15:12 3 14
W L W W D
9 9 3 4 2 13:10 3 13
L L W W D
10 9 3 4 2 11:9 2 13
D L W W W
11 9 4 1 4 10:11 -1 13
W W W D L
12 9 2 5 2 12:12 0 11
L D D L W
13 9 3 2 4 9:13 -4 11
L D L L W
14 9 3 2 4 9:14 -5 11
W D D W L
15 9 2 4 3 12:12 0 10
D W D D L
16 9 2 4 3 13:14 -1 10
W D D L W
17 9 2 4 3 11:12 -1 10
L D W D L
18 9 2 4 3 9:10 -1 10
L L L D W
19 8 2 4 2 10:12 -2 10
D D D L L
20 9 2 3 4 5:6 -1 9
W L D L D
21 8 2 1 5 9:13 -4 7
L L L L D
22 7 1 3 3 3:6 -3 6
L L W D D
23 7 1 2 4 3:9 -6 5
L W L L D
24 7 1 1 5 6:13 -7 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League