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BRAZIL › SERIE A
20.09.2026 21:30
Estádio do Maracanã
Referee: R. Pereira
Flamengo
Match Timeline
RB Bragantino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
5'
Ayrton Lucas ↔ Alex Sandro
Flamengo
🟨
6'
Fernando dos Santos Pedro
RB Bragantino
⚽
13'
G. Varela · Assist: J. Carrascal
Flamengo
🟨
37'
Alex Sandro
Flamengo
🔄
46'
Rodriguinho ↔ Alix Vinicius
RB Bragantino
🔄
46'
I. Pitta ↔ H. Mosquera
RB Bragantino
🟨
51'
Guillermo Varela
Flamengo
🔄
58'
Vanderlan ↔ J. Herrera
RB Bragantino
⚽
71'
Pedro · Assist: Jorginho
Flamengo
🔄
72'
Pedro ↔ Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
🔄
72'
J. Carrascal ↔ Luiz Araujo
Flamengo
🔄
77'
Tiago Volpi ↔ Cleiton
RB Bragantino
🔄
77'
Fabinho ↔ I. Sosa
RB Bragantino
⚽
86'
Bruno Henrique
RB Bragantino
🟨
89'
Bruno Henrique
Flamengo
🟨
90+6'
Jose Herrera
RB Bragantino
🟨
90+8'
Agustin Sant Anna
RB Bragantino
🔄
90+2'
G. de Arrascaeta ↔ N. de la Cruz
Flamengo
🔄
90+1'
G. Plata ↔ J. Freitas
Flamengo

Flamengo vs RB Bragantino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.35
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.6%
1.35 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.95 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.60 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.91 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Flamengo Win 69.6%
Draw 3.7%
RB Bragantino Win 26.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Flamengo1.64
RB Bragantino1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Flamengo Flamengo
WWDLW
80 GF / 32 GA
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
WLDWL
34 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.26
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
21
BTTS Yes
14
22
Over 2.5
11
5.72
Shots on Goal
5.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Flamengo Flamengo 40 matches
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 27 matches
Flamengo Statistic RB Bragantino
26 Wins 11
10 Draws 6
4 Losses 10
80 Goals For 34
32 Goals Against 30
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
21 BTTS Yes 14
37 Over 1.5 21
22 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 3
17 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 6
5.72 Shots On Goal 5.08
15.89 Total Shots 16.12
5.14 Corners 5.69
56.3% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward RB Bragantino. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Flamengo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 54 points compared to RB Bragantino in 9 on 35, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Flamengo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Flamengo Analysis

Flamengo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 54 points after 26 matches. The return of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 51:21, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Pedro (14 goals), Samuel Lino (9 goals), J. Carrascal (5 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (7 assists), J. Carrascal (6 assists), Pedro (5 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

RB Bragantino Analysis

RB Bragantino sit 9 with 35 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 31:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on I. Pitta (6 goals), Lucas Barbosa (5 goals), Fernando (3 goals), with creative support from Henry Mosquera (4 assists), I. Pitta (2 assists), Lucas Barbosa (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 5 times, RB Bragantino won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Flamengo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Flamengo 4-2-3-1 / RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Flamengo 4, RB Bragantino 6
H2H summary: Flamengo wins 5, draws 4, RB Bragantino wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 28 12 7 9 37:32 5 43
W D W L W
8 28 11 8 9 43:41 2 41
W W W W W
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 29 10 7 12 34:33 1 37
D L L D L
11 28 10 6 12 33:32 1 36
L W L W W
12 29 10 6 13 32:42 -10 36
W L D W L
13 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
14 29 8 9 12 34:43 -9 33
D W D W L
15 29 8 8 13 30:34 -4 32
L L L L L
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 29 7 10 12 32:37 -5 31
W L W L L
18 29 7 9 13 31:39 -8 30
D D L L L
19 29 5 9 15 33:48 -15 24
D L L L L
20 28 3 9 16 29:57 -28 18
L D L W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B