Flamengo vs Gremio Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Flamengo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Flamengo1.74
Gremio1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Flamengo
WWDLW
82 GF / 33 GA
Gremio
WLDWL
36 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.16
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
22
BTTS Yes
19
23
Over 2.5
16
5.73
Shots on Goal
3.68
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Flamengo
41 matches
Gremio
31 matches
| Flamengo | Statistic | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wins | 9 |
| 10 | Draws | 8 |
| 4 | Losses | 14 |
| 82 | Goals For | 36 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 5.73 | Shots On Goal | 3.68 |
| 15.76 | Total Shots | 11.32 |
| 5.05 | Corners | 4.11 |
| 56.6% | Ball Possession | 49.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 9 times, Gremio won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:14 from Flamengo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Flamengo 4-2-3-1 / Gremio 3-4-3
H2H summary: Flamengo wins 9, draws 3, Gremio wins 3
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
Home
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 43 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 |
Gremio
Away
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B