Fiorentina
Match Timeline
Napoli
Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
65.4%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.86 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.5%
|
1.50 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.00 |
Probability Distribution
Fiorentina Win 34.6%
Draw 18.8%
Napoli Win 46.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fiorentina1.87
Napoli1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fiorentina
WWDLW
27 GF / 19 GA
Napoli
WLDWL
18 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
7
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
5
6.33
Shots on Goal
3.8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fiorentina
12 matches
Napoli
10 matches
| Fiorentina | Statistic | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 27 | Goals For | 18 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 2.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 6.33 | Shots On Goal | 3.8 |
| 15.67 | Total Shots | 12.2 |
| 4.17 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 44.5% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fiorentina won 4 times, Napoli won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:31 from Fiorentina's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.2%)
Predicted formations: Fiorentina 4-3-3 / Napoli 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Fiorentina 2, Napoli 7
H2H summary: Fiorentina wins 4, draws 2, Napoli wins 9
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 12 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Napoli
Away
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Fiorentina
Home
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
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