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29.09.2026 16:00
Helsinki Olympic Stadium
Referee: Nikola Dabanovic, Montenegro
Finland
Match Timeline
Belarus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
G. Kamara ↔ D. Hakans
Finland
🔄
59'
J. Pohjanpalo ↔ B. Kallman
Finland
🟨
61'
Artem Shumanskiy
Belarus
🔄
61'
A. Shumansky ↔ A. Kovalev
Belarus
🔄
61'
G. Barkovskiy ↔ T. Melnichenko
Belarus
🔄
62'
V. Lisakovich ↔ V. Gromyko
Belarus
🔄
66'
L. Walta ↔ A. Suhonen
Finland
🔄
66'
A. Markhiev ↔ S. Vaananen
Finland
VAR
68'
Aleksandr Selyava
Belarus
🟨
71'
Anton Lukashov
Belarus
🟨
72'
Kaan Kairinen
Finland
🟨
86'
Adam Stahl
Finland
🔄
87'
A. Selyava ↔ E. Yablonskiy
Belarus
🔄
88'
T. Keskinen ↔ A. Svanback
Finland

Finland vs Belarus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.5%
Odds 2.38
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.12
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.5%
2.38 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.25 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.12 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78.5%
1.23 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
12.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
21.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Finland Win 34.5%
Draw 25.4%
Belarus Win 40%
Expected Goals (xG)
Finland2.08
Belarus1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Finland Finland
WWDLW
8 GF / 6 GA
Belarus Belarus
WLDWL
9 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
1.8
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
1
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
4.67
Shots on Goal
1.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Finland Finland 3 matches
Belarus Belarus 5 matches
Finland Statistic Belarus
1 Wins 3
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 1
8 Goals For 9
6 Goals Against 6
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
1 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
4.67 Shots On Goal 1.6
13.33 Total Shots 4.2
5 Corners 1.4
51.7% Ball Possession 23.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Finland won 1 times, Belarus won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Finland's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.6%)
Predicted formations: Finland 4-3-3 / Belarus 4-4-2
H2H summary: Finland wins 1, draws 0, Belarus wins 0

Standings

League C - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 0 1 8:3 5 9
W L W W
2 4 2 1 1 5:2 3 7
W W D L
3 4 2 1 1 9:2 7 7
L W D W
4 4 0 0 4 1:16 -15 0
L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs