Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
43.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Feyenoord
13 matches
AZ Alkmaar
14 matches
| Feyenoord | Statistic | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 9 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 42 | Goals For | 31 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 3.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.21 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 7.75 | Shots On Goal | 6.88 |
| 20 | Total Shots | 18.5 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 8.13 |
| 52.6% | Ball Possession | 58.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Feyenoord expected to line up in 4-3-3 and AZ Alkmaar in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AZ Alkmaar having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors AZ Alkmaar. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Feyenoord approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 17 points after 7 outings. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:7, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by G. Zechiël (5 goals), A. Hadj-Moussa (5 goals), L. Valente (4 goals), with creative support from G. Zechiël (4 assists), G. Read (4 assists), A. Hadj-Moussa (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
AZ Alkmaar approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 19 points after 7 outings. They have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 18:6 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on R. Daal (4 goals), M. Meerdink (3 goals), J. Hornkamp (2 goals), with creative support from M. Chávez (3 assists), M. Meerdink (2 assists), C. Stengs (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Feyenoord won 8 times, AZ Alkmaar won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Feyenoord's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
Away
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 2 |
Feyenoord
Home
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 18 | 17 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 14 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 11 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | -9 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:24 | -13 | 5 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 4 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 2 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
D
|