Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
81.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Feyenoord
42 matches
AZ Alkmaar
50 matches
| Feyenoord | Statistic | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 25 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 14 | Losses | 15 |
| 82 | Goals For | 91 |
| 64 | Goals Against | 66 |
| 1.95 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 40 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 33 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 22 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 6.05 | Shots On Goal | 5.98 |
| 16.21 | Total Shots | 15.84 |
| 6.52 | Corners | 5.8 |
| 52.6% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors AZ Alkmaar. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Feyenoord come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 61 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 18 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 67:43 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Ueda (25 goals), A. Hadj Moussa (8 goals), S. Steijn (7 goals), with creative support from J. Bos (7 assists), A. Hadj Moussa (6 assists), L. Valente (6 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
AZ Alkmaar sit 6 with 50 points after 32 league matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 54:47 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Parrott (16 goals), S. Mijnans (10 goals), S. Resink (6 goals), with creative support from Mees de Wit (6 assists), S. Mijnans (5 assists), S. Resink (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Feyenoord won 8 times, AZ Alkmaar won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Feyenoord's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Feyenoord
5
3
5
5
0
5
Lineups
Feyenoord
PEC Zwolle
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
Groningen
Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Ajax
Feyenoord
Excelsior
Feyenoord
NAC Breda
Feyenoord
Twente
Feyenoord
Telstar
Feyenoord
GO Ahead Eagles
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Real Betis
Feyenoord
Heracles
Feyenoord
Sturm Graz
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Twente
Feyenoord
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
Feyenoord
Groningen
Feyenoord
Ajax
Feyenoord
Excelsior
Feyenoord
Telstar
Feyenoord
GO Ahead Eagles
Feyenoord
Heracles
Feyenoord
Sturm Graz
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord
Twente
Feyenoord
PEC Zwolle
Feyenoord
Celtic
Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Panathinaikos
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Feyenoord
Aston Villa
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
Drita
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Crystal Palace
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
AEK Larnaca
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Feyenoord
Home
|
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
AZ Alkmaar
Away
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|