04.10.2026 16:00
Parque Capurro
Fenix
Match Timeline
Uruguay Montevideo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
42'
S. Ribas
Fenix
⚽
90'
G. Colman
Fenix

Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.61
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.09
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.15
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.1%
1.61 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.09 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.15 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Fenix Win 59.1%
Draw 14.6%
Uruguay Montevideo Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fenix1.39
Uruguay Montevideo1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fenix Fenix
WWDLW
39 GF / 31 GA
Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo
WLDWL
26 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
18
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fenix Fenix 27 matches
Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo 26 matches
Fenix Statistic Uruguay Montevideo
10 Wins 6
10 Draws 8
7 Losses 12
39 Goals For 26
31 Goals Against 34
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
18 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Uruguay Montevideo. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Uruguay Montevideo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Fenix Analysis

Fenix approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 11 points after 6 outings. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 13:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Uruguay Montevideo Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Uruguay Montevideo have collected 9 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 7:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Fenix won 2 times, Uruguay Montevideo won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Fenix's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
H2H summary: Fenix wins 2, draws 1, Uruguay Montevideo wins 1

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3
Fenix Home
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D