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ROMANIA › LIGA I
10.10.2026 18:30
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FCSB vs Oţelul Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75.9%
Odds 1.12
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75.9%
1.12 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.56 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.16 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
FCSB Win 51.7%
Draw 24.2%
Oţelul Win 24.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FCSB1.21
Oţelul1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
FCSB FCSB
WWDLW
17 GF / 30 GA
Oţelul Oţelul
WLDWL
15 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.07
2.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
8
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
6
5.08
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FCSB FCSB 14 matches
Oţelul Oţelul 14 matches
FCSB Statistic Oţelul
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 7
8 Losses 4
17 Goals For 15
30 Goals Against 17
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
2.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
8 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 9
10 Over 2.5 6
8 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 5
5.08 Shots On Goal 3.6
14.33 Total Shots 12.1
5.25 Corners 4.5
45.9% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Oţelul. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

FCSB Analysis

FCSB sit 11 with 12 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 13:17 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on João Paulo (2 goals), Daniel Bîrligea (2 goals), D. Miculescu (1 goals), with creative support from J. Cisotti (2 assists), D. Miculescu (1 assists), Octavian Popescu (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oţelul Analysis

With 10 points from 10 games and a place of 14, Oţelul still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 11:15, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Patrick (3 goals), Pedro Nuno (1 goals), Andrézinho (1 goals), with creative support from Pedro Nuno (4 assists), Andrézinho (1 assists), Miguel Silva (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, FCSB won 6 times, Oţelul won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:7 from FCSB's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (75.9%)
Predicted formations: FCSB 4-2-3-1 / Oţelul 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FCSB wins 6, draws 2, Oţelul wins 2

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 23:7 16 23
W W W D W
2 10 6 3 1 14:6 8 21
W W W D W
3 10 6 2 2 24:9 15 20
W W W D W
4 10 6 1 3 13:12 1 19
W D W W L
5 9 5 0 4 14:13 1 15
W W L L L
6 10 3 5 2 14:14 0 14
L W D D D
7 10 3 4 3 11:9 2 13
W L L D D
8 9 4 1 4 15:14 1 13
W L D W W
9 10 3 4 3 7:10 -3 13
L W L W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:15 -1 12
W L W W D
11
FCSB Home
10 3 3 4 13:17 -4 12
L D L L L
12 10 2 5 3 14:12 2 11
L D W D W
13 10 3 2 5 6:10 -4 11
L D L L L
14 10 2 4 4 11:15 -4 10
L L L D W
15 10 2 2 6 9:22 -13 8
L L W D L
16 10 0 1 9 6:23 -17 1
L L L L L
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