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SWITZERLAND › SUPER LEAGUE
10.10.2026 16:00
Letzigrund Stadion

FC Zurich vs FC Thun Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Zurich Win 53.5%
Draw 15%
FC Thun Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Zurich2.02
FC Thun2.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Zurich FC Zurich
WWDLW
33 GF / 40 GA
FC Thun FC Thun
WLDWL
46 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
2.19
2.35
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
16
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
16
4
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Zurich FC Zurich 17 matches
FC Thun FC Thun 21 matches
FC Zurich Statistic FC Thun
6 Wins 8
2 Draws 4
9 Losses 9
33 Goals For 46
40 Goals Against 45
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 2.19
2.35 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
16 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 13
0 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 3.6
12.11 Total Shots 10.87
4.33 Corners 5
45.7% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Thun arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC Thun. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Zurich expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and FC Thun in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Thun having the stronger overall control.

FC Zurich Analysis

So far, FC Zurich have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 11 points from 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 14:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through U. Emmanuel (3 goals), P. Keny (3 goals), B. Krasniqi (1 goals), with creative support from U. Emmanuel (2 assists), P. Keny (1 assists), B. Krasniqi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Thun Analysis

FC Thun approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 10 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 15:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Labeau (3 goals), F. Dursun (2 goals), F. Saiz (2 goals), with creative support from F. Dursun (4 assists), F. Saiz (1 assists), N. Reichmuth (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Zurich won 7 times, FC Thun won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:25 from FC Zurich's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: FC Zurich 4-1-4-1 / FC Thun 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: FC Zurich wins 7, draws 4, FC Thun wins 4

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 27:7 20 25
W W D W W
2 9 5 4 0 31:18 13 19
W D D W D
3 9 6 1 2 23:14 9 19
D W W W W
4 9 4 1 4 17:17 0 13
L W L L D
5 9 4 1 4 16:19 -3 13
W L L W L
6 9 3 3 3 17:18 -1 12
W L D W D
7 9 3 2 4 14:20 -6 11
D W D L W
8 9 3 1 5 11:13 -2 10
L W W L L
9 9 3 1 5 15:23 -8 10
W L L L D
10 9 2 2 5 13:24 -11 8
L L W D W
11 9 2 0 7 18:21 -3 6
L L W L W
12 9 1 3 5 7:15 -8 6
L L L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs