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ARMENIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
11.10.2026 16:00
Urartu Stadium

FC Urartu vs Ararat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
53.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Urartu Win 42.4%
Draw 28.6%
Ararat Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Urartu1.73
Ararat1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Urartu FC Urartu
WWDLW
30 GF / 31 GA
Ararat Ararat
WLDWL
18 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
12
BTTS Yes
7
13
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Urartu FC Urartu 16 matches
Ararat Ararat 16 matches
FC Urartu Statistic Ararat
5 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
7 Losses 7
30 Goals For 18
31 Goals Against 24
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
12 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 12
13 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with FC Urartu's more proactive style and Ararat's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ararat arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ararat. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ararat having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

FC Urartu Analysis

FC Urartu sit 6 with 11 points after 8 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 12:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Ararat Analysis

Ararat sit 8 with 9 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 6:13, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Urartu won 9 times, Ararat won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:10 from FC Urartu's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.4%)
H2H summary: FC Urartu wins 9, draws 5, Ararat wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 21:5 16 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 17:8 9 19
W W W L D
3 8 5 3 0 18:8 10 18
D W W D W
4 8 4 3 1 18:6 12 15
D D W D W
5 8 3 3 2 14:12 2 12
D D L L W
6 8 3 2 3 12:10 2 11
W L L D W
7 8 3 1 4 11:10 1 10
L L W W L
8 8 3 0 5 6:13 -7 9
W W L L L
9 8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
D L W W L
10 8 1 1 6 4:21 -17 4
L W L L D
11 8 1 0 7 8:20 -12 3
L L L L L
12 8 0 2 6 3:17 -14 2
L L D L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - First League