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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
FC Tokyo
FT
5 - 2
Mito Hollyhock
Ajinomoto Stadium
Referee: A. Kamimura
FC Tokyo
Match Timeline
Mito Hollyhock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
Danilo Cardoso · Assist: M. Arai
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
35'
Marcelo Ryan · Assist: A. Scholz
FC Tokyo
🟨
40'
Takumi Mase
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
43'
K. Sato
FC Tokyo
🟨
45+3'
Danilo Cardoso
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
45'
Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo
🔄
46'
K. Endo ↔ T. Nakagawa
FC Tokyo
🔄
46'
M. Arai ↔ H. Yamamoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
55'
A. Watanabe ↔ R. Nemoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
56'
T. Mase ↔ S. Omori
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
68'
S. Muroya
FC Tokyo
🔄
69'
Matheus Leiria ↔ K. Ando
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
70'
A. Scholz ↔ R. Omori
FC Tokyo
⚽
70'
K. Ando
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
74'
R. Sato · Assist: Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo
🔄
76'
T. Semba ↔ Y. Yamashita
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
83'
K. Sato ↔ F. Yamada
FC Tokyo
🔄
83'
Marcelo Ryan ↔ L. Nozawa
FC Tokyo
🔄
88'
H. Inamura ↔ M. Morishige
FC Tokyo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.8%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Tokyo Win 61.6%
Draw 12.8%
Mito Hollyhock Win 25.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Tokyo1.67
Mito Hollyhock1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
WWDLW
20 GF / 11 GA
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WLDWL
14 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
7
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
5
4.82
Shots on Goal
3.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 matches
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 matches
FC Tokyo Statistic Mito Hollyhock
6 Wins 2
5 Draws 6
1 Losses 4
20 Goals For 14
11 Goals Against 20
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
7 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
4.82 Shots On Goal 3.45
14 Total Shots 11.55
4.73 Corners 3.73
53.2% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, FC Tokyo won 2 times, Mito Hollyhock won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from FC Tokyo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Tokyo 4-4-2 / Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
H2H summary: FC Tokyo wins 2, draws 1, Mito Hollyhock wins 1
Stats
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
7 Corner Kicks 1
6 Fouls 3
3 Offsides 4
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 1
16 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
456 Total passes 490
373 Passes accurate 399
2.94 expected_goals 0.77
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Tokyo
Formation
Mito Hollyhock
Kim Seung-Gyu
Kim Seung-Gyu
S. Muroya
⚽
S. Muroya
A. Scholz
🎯 ↓
A. Scholz
H. Inamura
↓
H. Inamura
K. Hashimoto
K. Hashimoto
K. Sato
⚽ ↓
K. Sato
K. Hashimoto
K. Hashimoto
K. Tokiwa
K. Tokiwa
K. Endo
↓
K. Endo
Marcelo Ryan
⚽ 2 🎯 ↓
Marcelo Ryan
R. Sato
⚽
R. Sato
K. Nishikawa
K. Nishikawa
T. Mase
↓
T. Mase
Danilo Cardoso
⚽
Danilo Cardoso
K. Itakura
K. Itakura
T. Iida
T. Iida
Matheus Leiria
↓
Matheus Leiria
T. Semba
↓
T. Semba
K. Osaki
K. Osaki
M. Arai
🎯 ↓
M. Arai
K. Tada
K. Tada
A. Watanabe
↓
A. Watanabe
FC Tokyo 4-4-2
Starting XI
81
Kim Seung-Gyu
G
2
S. Muroya
⚽ 68'
D
24
A. Scholz
🎯 35' ↓ 70'
D
17
H. Inamura
↓ 88'
D
42
K. Hashimoto
D
16
K. Sato
⚽ 43' ↓ 83'
M
18
K. Hashimoto
M
27
K. Tokiwa
M
22
K. Endo
↓ 46'
M
9
Marcelo Ryan
⚽ 35' ⚽ 45' 🎯 74' ↓ 83'
F
23
R. Sato
⚽ 74'
F
Substitutes
1
H. Tanaka
G
3
M. Morishige
↑ 88'
D
8
T. Ko
M
71
F. Yamada
↑ 83'
M
55
D. C. Otani
F
10
K. Higashi
M
39
T. Nakagawa
↑ 46'
F
15
R. Omori
↑ 70'
D
28
L. Nozawa
↑ 83'
F
Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
Starting XI
34
K. Nishikawa
G
25
T. Mase
↓ 56' 🟨 40'
D
2
Danilo Cardoso
⚽ 17' 🟨 45+3'
D
17
K. Itakura
D
6
T. Iida
D
70
Matheus Leiria
↓ 69'
M
19
T. Semba
↓ 76'
M
3
K. Osaki
M
14
M. Arai
🎯 17' ↓ 46'
M
29
K. Tada
F
10
A. Watanabe
↓ 55'
F
Substitutes
21
S. Matsubara
G
48
Y. Yamashita
↑ 76'
M
7
S. Omori
↑ 56'
D
39
H. Yamamoto
↑ 46'
M
4
T. Ushizawa
D
9
R. Nemoto
↑ 55'
F
44
K. Okuda
F
24
K. Yamazaki
M
33
K. Ando
⚽ 70' ↑ 69'
M
Last matches: FC Tokyo
06.06.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
1
3
L
30.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
0
1
L
16.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Urawa
0
0
D
10.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
W
06.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
29.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
3
1
W
11.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
1
W
05.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
01.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
18.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
W
28.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
0
2
L
21.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
1
W
14.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Urawa
1
1
D
07.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
1
1
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4
3
W
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
06.06.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
30.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
24.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
1
3
L
16.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
09.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
1
4
L
06.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
19.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
18.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
0
2
L
01.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
2
2
D
22.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
14.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
08.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Mito Hollyhock
Sagan Tosu
2
4
L
H2H: FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock
24.04.26
H2H
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
5
2
W
14.03.26
H2H
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
12.10.24
H2H
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
2
3
L
11.11.15
H2H
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
2
0
W
Last matches: FC Tokyo
06.06.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
1
3
L
10.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
W
06.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
05.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
07.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
W
28.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
0
2
L
14.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Urawa
1
1
D
07.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
1
1
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4
3
W
H2H at home: FC Tokyo
24.04.26
H2H
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
5
2
W
12.10.24
H2H
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
2
3
L
11.11.15
H2H
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
2
0
W
Last matches: Mito Hollyhock
30.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashima
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
1
D
11.04.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
JEF United Chiba
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
07.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
0
2
L
01.03.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Kawasaki Frontale
2
2
D
14.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
08.02.26
J1
Mito Hollyhock
Tokyo Verdy
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Mito Hollyhock
Sagan Tosu
2
4
L
H2H away: Mito Hollyhock
24.04.26
H2H
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
5
2
L
12.10.24
H2H
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
2
3
W
11.11.15
H2H
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
2
0
L

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Kashima
18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2
FC Tokyo Home
18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3
Machida Zelvia
18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4
Kawasaki Frontale
18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5
Tokyo Verdy
18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6
Urawa
18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7
Yokohama F. Marinos
18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8
Kashiwa Reysol
18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9
Mito Hollyhock Away
18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10
JEF United Chiba
18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)